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  • EUR/JPY IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now net-long EUR/JPY for the first time since Mar 10, 2021 when EUR/JPY traded near 129.31. A contrarian view of crowd sentiment points to EUR/JPY weakness. https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/59zAMabrWa
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  • Forex Update: As of 07:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇯🇵JPY: 0.17% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.01% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.03% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.26% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.44% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.47% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/z7VcGOqJws
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Potential for Top in USDOLLAR After Triangle False Breakout

Potential for Top in USDOLLAR After Triangle False Breakout

Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Strategist

Talking Points:

- USDOLLAR made new highs this week, but has reversed breakout.

- Failure under daily 34-EMA - support since July - would confirm.

- See the April forex seasonality report.

Although the USDOLLAR Index hit fresh yearly highs this week, it's now vulnerable to setting a significant top if it breaks current levels. The daily 34-EMA has been the backbone of trend support dating back to last July (having most recently served as support on the post-March FOMC meeting selling), and a loss of this mean reverting level, in context of the recent return to the triangle range, would indicate strong potential for lower prices in USD-pairs over the coming days and weeks.

See the above video for technical considerations in EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD, and USOIL.

Read more: Trade Setups in EUR-crosses Ahead of ECB Meeting

--- Written by Christopher Vecchio, Currency Strategist

To contact Christopher Vecchio, e-mail cvecchio@dailyfx.com

Follow him on Twitter at @CVecchioFX

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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