0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bullish
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • The New Zealand Dollar may extend its surge from yearly lows as it tentatively signals a cyclical upturn. NZD/USD, NZD/JPY rates poised for further gains. Get your market update from @DanielGMoss here: https://t.co/vrOuFkvWpX https://t.co/GdmIBZ670I
  • The US Dollar may rise on haven demand as US-China tension grows over technology and intra-governmental friction after Trump’s executive orders on coronavirus relief aid. Get your market update from @ZabelinDimitri here:https://t.co/t4CL53z0DV https://t.co/WQOG1vxnkT
  • 🇸🇬 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final (Q2) Actual: -42.9% Expected: -42.9% Previous: -4.7% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-11
  • 🇸🇬 GDP Growth Rate YoY Final (Q2) Actual: -13.2% Expected: -13.2% Previous: -0.7% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-11
  • 🇯🇵 Bank Lending YoY (JUL) Actual: 6.3% Expected: 6.5% Previous: 6.2% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-10
  • The US Dollar may rise on haven demand as US-China tension grows over technology and intra-governmental friction after Trump’s executive orders on coronavirus relief aid. https://t.co/qzlk7T8EpC
  • Heads Up:🇸🇬 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final (Q2) due at 00:00 GMT (15min) Expected: -42.9% Previous: -4.7% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-11
  • Heads Up:🇸🇬 GDP Growth Rate YoY Final (Q2) due at 00:00 GMT (15min) Expected: -13.2% Previous: -0.7% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-11
  • Heads Up:🇯🇵 Bank Lending YoY (JUL) due at 23:50 GMT (15min) Expected: 6.5% Previous: 6.2% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-10
  • All you need to know heading into Asia: #AUDNZD Broke Half-Decade Ceiling. Tech Stocks Retreat on Sino-US Risks⬇️ https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/asia_am_briefing/2020/08/10/AUDNZD-Broke-Half-Decade-Ceiling-Tech-Stocks-Retreat-on-Sino-US-Risks.html
Gold Prices Slip Back as Risk Appetite Endures, US Payrolls Eyed Next

Gold Prices Slip Back as Risk Appetite Endures, US Payrolls Eyed Next

2020-01-10 07:04:00
David Cottle, Analyst
Share:

Gold and Crude Oil Talking Points:

  • Gold continued lower as overall risk appetite held up
  • Trade is back to the fore as Iran slips from the spotlight
  • Crude oil prices lost a bit more of their risk premium
Gold BEARISH
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily 13% 2% 10%
Weekly 21% -8% 11%
What does it mean for price action?
Get My Guide

Gold prices continued to retreat in Friday’s Asia-Pacific session as market focused moved from Iran to trade prospects, and from caution to optimism.

It became clear on Thursday that the US Administration’s response to Iranian attacks on bases in Iraq would be predominantly non-military and focused on sanctions. This calmed initial worries that Washington and Tehran were on a path to war, but clearly the situation remains fluid.

However, Wall Street managed new records, and investors are looking forward to the signing of a phase-one trade deal between China and the US on January 15. Gold prices may not slide very far on this prospect, however, with the more substantive phase two deal possibly on ice until after the US Presidential election in November and maybe far beyond that.

Still there has been an undeniable revival in risk appetite and, as usual , that makes the going tougher for haven assets like gold.

Gold Technical Analysis

Gold prices have slipped back below their 2019, a level they punched strongly above this week as Iran-related worries dominated global markets.

Gold Prices, Daily Chart.

They have abandoned those levels up near $1,600/ounce, leaving the notable high of September 24 at $1,530.96 as near-term support. That level had marked the market’s highest point until as recently as January 2, and acted as something of a cap before finally being breached.

Gold had retained a substantial bid even before the US airstrike on Iranian General Quassim Soleimani and its overall uptrend would not appear to be threatened. However the market remains quite close to overbought territory and further modest falls and consolidation looks likely if risk appetite holds up.

Crude oil prices continued to fall, responding perhaps a little unusually to much the same impetus as that which dragged on gold. However, whereas gold has slipped as haven assets find themselves out of favor, oil is merely shedding the risk premium which was piled onto prices in response to Iran-related worries. Prices have lost about 4% in the past couple of days, but, again, it’s important to remember that oil was pretty well bid even without the Iran story, and that markets are looking hopefully towards increased demand in 2020.

Commodity markets will now look like all others towards official US labor data, due for release later Friday. Only 166,000 new nonfarm jobs are expected for December but the overall jobless rate is predicted to remain steady at a relatively comforting 3.5%.

Crude Oil Technical Analysis

Crude Oil Prices, Daily Chart

Prices remain caught between the first and second Fibonacci retracement levels of their rise from the lows of October to January’s peaks. It’s notable on the daily chart that they’re also getting closer to the lower boundary of their dominant uptrend channel than they’ve been at any point since early December, when the channel held. Momentum indicators suggest that prices are edging toward oversold territory after the strong falls of this week, and they may soon edge back up toward the upper boundary of the channel where they were so at home in the runup to this week’s Iran-related gains.

Oil - US Crude MIXED
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily 0% 9% 4%
Weekly 5% -15% -5%
What does it mean for price action?
Get My Guide

Commodity Trading Resources

--- Written by David Cottle, DailyFX Research

Follow David on Twitter@DavidCottleFX or use the Comments section below to get in touch!

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.