We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bearish
USD/JPY
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bearish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Bitcoin
Bullish
More View more
Breaking news

British Pound surges after UK exit poll shows Conservatives expected to win 368 seats out of 650

Brexit Briefing: GBP Drifts Lower as Triggering of Article 50 Nears

Brexit Briefing: GBP Drifts Lower as Triggering of Article 50 Nears

2017-03-22 14:55:00
Nick Cawley, Analyst
Share:

Talking Points

- GBPUSD giving back some of Tuesday’s inflation-driven gains.

- EU divorce talk to harden next week.

- See the DailyFX Economic Calendar and see what live coverage for key event risk impacting FX markets is scheduled for the week on the DailyFX Webinar Calendar.

The British Pound is back under pressure Wednesday with one week left until UK PM Theresa May triggers formal proceedings for the UK to leave the European Union. The pound, one of the best performing currencies since last week’s FOMC meeting, is back below 1.24400 and giving back some of Tuesday’s gains. GBPUSD jumped yesterday after UK inflation spiked to 2.3%, up from 1.8% in the previous month, as traders start to mull higher UK rates.

Chart: GBPUSD One –Hour Timeframe (March 16 – March 22, 2017).

Brexit Briefing: GBP Drifts Lower as Triggering of Article 50 Nears

Chart by IG

And the pressure on sterling is unlikely to abate as formal Brexit negotiations draw near. Both sides are expected to lay out their toughest arguments as proceedings start before compromise sets in further down the track. The EU negotiators are expected to re-iterate their unwavering commitment to the ‘four pillars’, the single-bloc’s four key principles, while the UK will repeat that it wants complete control over movement from the EU while keeping full and free access to the trading block.

European Council President Donald Tusk said yesterday the EU leaders will meet on April 29 to discuss their Brexit guidelines.

During a press conference in Brussels, Tusk said that he wished that the UK hadn’t chosen to leave the EU. “But the majority of British voters decided otherwise,” before adding “Therefore we must do everything we can to make the process of divorce the least painful for the EU.”

Upcoming GBP Event Risk

Events

Date, Time (GMT)

Forecast

Previous

UK Retail Sales Y-o-Y(Feb)

March 23, 0930 GMT

2.60%

1.50%

UK M4 Money Supply M-o-M (Feb)

March 29, 0930 GMT

0.90%

UK Gross Domestic Product Y-o-Y Q4

March 31, 0930 GMT

2.0%

2.0%

Markets

Index / Exchange Rate

Change (Exchange Hours/GMT Session Rollover)

Market Close/Last

FTSE 100

-0.91%

7,312.00

DAX

-0.56%

11,895

GBP/USD

-0.25%

1.2440

EUR/USD

-0.01%

1.0805

EUR/GBP

0.24%

0.8683

--- Written by Nick Cawley, Analyst

To contact Nick, email him at nicholas.cawley@ig.com

Don't trade FX but want to learn more? Read the DailyFX Trading Guides

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.