We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • Coronavirus continues to spread rapidly in the US and Latin America causing risk sentiment to falter despite ongoing economic recovery. Get your #currencies update from @HathornSabin here: https://t.co/RCQR6z77qY https://t.co/E2jzemH6bQ
  • The ASX 200 and AUD/JPY are at risk of losses as cases of Covid-19 continue to climb in Victoria, Australia’s second-most populous state. Get your #ASX market update from @DanielGMoss here: https://t.co/O0LNvhgsQo https://t.co/Xq2lDE6s1T
  • Risk performance disparity is front and center while systemic issues meet key event risk. My trading video for the week ahead; '#Dow, $EURUSD, $GBPUSD Breakout Levels and Events Next Week' https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2020/07/11/Dow-EURUSD-GBPUSD-Breakout-Levels-and-Events-Next-Week.html?ref-author=Kicklighter&QPID=917719&CHID=9 https://t.co/1Fp5OxRbiS
  • This week, EUR/USD rallied to a multi-week high. Will bulls keep leading the price next week? Get your #currencies update from @malkudsi here: https://t.co/zUozw703uC https://t.co/LIEcx52Xh0
  • The New Zealand Dollar is aiming higher, with NZD/USD eyeing fresh yearly highs while AUD/NZD may be carving out a bearish Head and Shoulders chart pattern. Get your $NZDUSD market update from @DanielGMoss here:https://t.co/osFxXvq5xF https://t.co/Uk2RhkEyQO
  • A plethora of UK data, however, external factors remain the key driver as GBP/USD edges towards 200DMA. Get your #currencies update from @JMcQueenFX here: https://t.co/bWJGyiUSpQ https://t.co/qAg8NrAZor
  • The Japanese #Yen may rise if a growing number of coronavirus cases around the world puts a premium on anti-risk assets. JPY’s gains may be amplified if corporate earnings fail to impress investors. Get your #currencies update from @ZabelinDimitri here: https://t.co/yP4revKq6J https://t.co/7smgRKspLU
  • The US Dollar index (DXY) may face range bound conditions over the coming days amid the failed attempt to test the June low (95.75). Get your #currencies update from @DavidJSong here: https://t.co/GsBcE6Z4G6 https://t.co/HIJ4vvcBIg
  • The Dow Jones could fall based on positioning signals, will the growth-linked Australian Dollar and Canadian Dollar follow? If so, what are the technical barriers ahead? Find out from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/yJrlR5C00P https://t.co/FzkIBlJLHG
  • Further gains in USD/IDR could be curbed as USD/PHP establishes a floor around 2017 lows. USD/MYR may fall next as USD/SGD fast approaches a key falling trend line.Get your #ASEAN currencies market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/9JgZm2n8Fl https://t.co/FeBuqJ64qB
Pre-Trend Chart Patterns Every Trader Should Know: Part II

Pre-Trend Chart Patterns Every Trader Should Know: Part II

2014-07-15 03:00:00
Tyler Yell, CMT, Currency Strategist
Share:

Talking Points:

  • Recap of the Zig-Zag & The Study of Corrections
  • The Second Pre-Trend Pattern: Triangles
  • Setting Stops & Profit Targets

“All patterns fail, but the key is to know when to trade them and when to avoid them.”

-Suri Dudella

Trading patterns can be seen as a short-cut to in-depth technical analysis. You were recently introduced to the first type of corrective trading pattern known as a 3-wave correction or zig-zag, which commonly plays out before a trend. A Zig-zag is a sharp counter-trend moves that has the effect of flushing out the optimism of the prior trend before resuming again.

Learn Forex: Example of a clean Zig-Zag

Pre-Trend Chart Patterns Every Trader Should Know: Part II

Presented by FXCM’s Marketscope Charts

Some traders will do in-depth Intermarket analysis or other types of lengthy analysis, which can be helpful. However, you only need three things to use this type of analysis successfully.

  1. A well-defined trend with higher highs & higher lows (or reverse for down move)
  2. Knowledge of the common pre-trend patterns (our objective with this series)
  3. Knowledge of levels that validate trend resumption

A firm knowledge of the prior three aspects will help you be ready to pounce when a new trend is born with a tight level of risk.

The Second Pre-Trend Pattern: Triangles

Of the corrective patterns, triangles are the easiest to recognize, but there are a few key points to keep in mind. First, a triangle habitually will involve 5-points against the prior trend composed of 3-wave movements. The triangle will often show a decline in volatility as price looks to be pressing against each other with break outs failing to develop.

Learn Forex: Idealized Triangle (Not This Clean of Candle Charts)

Pre-Trend Chart Patterns Every Trader Should Know: Part II

The reason that triangles are important to take note of are two-fold. First, they often chew-up the clock. In other words, they are sideways patterns that take time to develop and are best avoided for swing-traders. Second, they are of great use for finding great range-trading environment for range traders.

When looking for the resumption of the prior trend, there are a few key points that should hold your focus. First, trendlines against the corrective extreme are helpful to see when a legitimate breakout occurs. Second, price action around Points C & D after they have been marked. Failure to break below the point marked, ‘C’, yet break above ‘E’, helps you to see a breakout has occurred.

If you’re not comfortable with price-action analysis, register for our free online price action course here.

However, an important note about triangles is that they often occur prior to the terminal thrust or move within the trend. Therefore, you want to have a specific and conservative target along with a firm stop, to be in place so that you’re not holding onto a trade that starts profitable but ends with a drop in your account equity. While there is more to be said on triangles, please note they occur on multiple time-frames. Here’s a triangle on a EURUSD hourly chart and a USDJPY Weekly Chart

Learn Forex: Hourly EURUSD Triangle

Pre-Trend Chart Patterns Every Trader Should Know: Part II

Presented by FXCM’s Marketscope Charts

You can see that the move out of the triangle was sharp and fast. Secondly, you‘ll notice that once that move / thrust was finished, a reversal developed. This is a helpful recognition that has put me in many trades at excellent levels.

Learn Forex: Weekly USDJPY Triangle

Pre-Trend Chart Patterns Every Trader Should Know: Part II

Presented by FXCM’s Marketscope Charts

Setting Stops & Profit Targets

The uniqueness of the triangle formation is that you can use the triangle itself as a target for the thrust. You do this by taking the height of the trend lines and apply the height in pips from the termination point of the triangle, known as point E. You can see from the chart of USDJPY that the target hit within a 5 pip range

The stop on the triangle thrust trade can and should be below E, the last leg of the triangle. If you’re wanting to assume the end of the triangle, before it takes place, you can focus on a stop below ‘C’.

Learn Forex: Triangle Target & Stops on XAUUSD

Pre-Trend Chart Patterns Every Trader Should Know: Part II

Presented by FXCM’s Marketscope Charts

If Gold is working out the first move out of the triangle, then we’d need to see a few levels give way. The first is a close below 1,304 (100-dma), which would place a stop above the level now marked, ‘E’ around 1,345.10. Because this is happening as oscillators are diverging negatively, we can turn our focus to the point marked ‘D’ near 1,240. A close below there would have us confidently looking for a thrust lower to resume while managing our trade carefully because this would likely be the terminal move to the downside.

Now that you know a common pre-trend move, feel free to test your knowledge out on a free FXCM UKDemo account.

Happy Trading!

---Written by Tyler Yell, Trading Instructor

To contact Tyler, email tyell@dailyfx.com

To be added to Tyler's e-mail distribution list, please click here

Tyler is available on Twitter @ForexYell

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.