Crude Oil, WTI, Bearish Engulfing – Technical Update:
- Crude oil prices turned lower over the past 24 hours
- Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern now in focus
- Watch rising trendline, RSI divergence on 4-hour
Daily Chart
WTI crude oil prices might be showing early signs of topping that might be worth paying attention to from a technical standpoint. On the daily chart below, a Bearish Engulfing has emerged. Downside confirmation is lacking at this stage, however. Further downside from here could underscore the candlestick pattern.
This is as prices trade just beneath the 92.43 – 93.72 resistance zone, which is made up of highs from November. In the event of a turn lower, keep a close eye on the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level at 88.75 before the 20-day Moving Average kicks in. Otherwise, clearing resistance exposes the 100% level at 95.63.
| Change in | Longs | Shorts | OI |
| Daily | -2% | 6% | 0% |
| Weekly | 4% | 8% | 5% |
Chart Created in TradingView
4-Hour Chart
Zooming in on the 4-hour setting may offer better insight into what key levels to watch in the event of extended losses. For starters, on this timeframe, WTI is sitting around the near-term rising trendline from the end of August. A confirmatory downside breakout would underscore an increasingly near-term bearish technical bias.
Meanwhile, negative RSI divergence shows that upside momentum is fading. That can at times precede a turn lower. Such a case would expose the 23.6% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels at 89.07 and 86.87, respectively. The latter is also closely aligned with the 100-day Moving Average, which may reinstate the broader upside bias.
Chart Created in TradingView
--- Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Strategist for DailyFX.com
