THE TAKEAWAY: Italian consumer confidence reported at 84.8 in November -> Lowest confidence index on record -> Euro pares losses despite index
Italian consumer confidence is at the lowest level on record for the past fifteen years. The Italian Consumer Confidence index for November was reported at 84.8, disappointing expectations for an 86.3 level, and lower than last month’s 86.2 revised confidence index.
The economic climate index fell to 69.4 from 71.5, and the future climate index fell to 75.2 from 78.2 in November. Expectations for unemployment also increased to 114 from 108, according to Italy’s Istat. Italy’s GDP shrank for the fifth straight quarter in Q3, and the consumer confidence index suggests that further economic contractions could be ahead.
However, the Euro did not react to the worse than expected Italian confidence index; in fact, EURUSD pared some earlier losses after the release. The Euro is still trading below the key 1.3000 line, where the pair might find resistance, and 1.2824 could provide support.
EURUSD 15-minute: November 26, 2012