Articles

USD/JPY Exchange Rate Steady After Japanese Trade Statistics


by  Bradley A. Kearns

The Yen showed a tepid reaction against the US Dollar after Japan’s trade figures crossed the wires, likely reflecting traders’ opinion that the soft data may not weigh on the Bank of Japan’s policy decisions.

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China Foreign Reserves Fall to Lowest Since May 2012


by  Bradley A. Kearns

The People’s Bank of China reported that foreign reserves fell to their lowest mark since May 2012, highlighting the government’s effort to offset capital flight and slow the Yuan’s depreciation

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EUR/USD Rally May Slow as Markets Reassess ECB, Fed Policies

EUR/USD Rally May Slow as Markets Reassess ECB, Fed Policies

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EUR/USD immediately benefited from the market pricing out any Fed rate hikes this year, but price may have gotten too far ahead of itself.

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by   ; ; ; ; ; ;  and Renee Mu

Weekly Trading Forecast: Will We See More of Last Week’s Exceptional FX and Commodity Volatility?

The Dollar suffered one of its most abrupt swoons in years until NFPs stabilized the currency. Oil and gold meanwhile generated remarkable volatility and tentative stabs at trends. Will we see more of these active markets this week?
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Dollar Recovers After Painful Stumble as Market’s Fed Doubts Waver

A number of major market themes were driven this past week; but for FX, the Dollar’s remarkable volatility grabbed most traders’ attention.
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Australian Dollar Down Trend May Resume on Yellen Testimony

The Australian Dollar may resume its long-term down trend after rebounding to a monthly high last week as testimony from Fed Chair Yellen reboots US rate hike speculation.
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by  Renee Mu

PBOC Prepared the Yuan Ahead of One-Week Holiday

Both the offshore (CNH) and onshore yuan (CNY) rates closed higher on Friday after China’s central bank raised the yuan reference against the dollar to a one-month high of 6.5314.
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Highest Unemployment Rate in 2yrs. Stalls CAD Rally

This week’s moves have put the Bank of Canada, and CAD traders in a precarious position.
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A Week of Wonder and Befuddlement for the Yen

Last week we looked at the astonishing surprise decision by the Bank of Japan to move to negative interest rates.
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Gold’s Luster at Risk as Fed Testimony Looms

Gold prices rallied for a third consecutive week with the precious metal advancing more than 3.5% to trade at 1157 ahead of the New York close on Friday
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GBP/USD 2016 Rebound Vulnerable to Upbeat Fed Testimony

The near-term rebound in GBP/USD may continue to unravel in the week ahead should the Federal Reserve’s semi-annual Humphrey-Hawkins testimony with Chair Janet Yellen highlight a further deviation in the policy outlook.
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The Real Bain of Equity Markets is Actually a US Dollar Problem

In a world where few want a strong currency, where is all of the capital going to flow? Will the Fed yield to this mounting pressure?
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NFP Misses Headline Number, Decent Internals; USD Bid

This was mixed report with a miss on the headline number, but encouraging developments in labor force participation and wage growth.
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Preview for January NFPs and Trade Setups for EUR/USD, USD/JPY

The US Dollar needs a lot of help right now. Will today's US Nonfarm Payrolls report lend a hand?
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US Dollar May Find Lifeline as Jobs Data Revives Rate Hike Bets

The US Dollar may find a lifeline in January’s employment data breathes new life into Fed rate hike speculation, lifting the currency after two days of aggressive selling.
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by  Nathalie Huynh

Oil Volatility Overlooks Supply Factors, Metals Ebb on Soft Data

Oil swung despite a consistent weakness in USD which supported metals. Gold held gains amid soft US data and reduced chances for rate hike
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USD/CAD Approaches Key Support Ahead of NFP- Buy Dips or Sell Rips?

The USDCAD breakdown is targeting key support zones ahead of US & Canadian employment data tomorrow. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter.
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USD/JPY Retail Positioning Stretched Ahead of NFP Report

Despite the near-term selloff in USD/JPY, the retail FX crowd remains net-long, with positioning back at extremes ahead of the NFP report.
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Dudley’s Dovish Dance Disintegrates Dollars

Expectations for US rate hikes are being kicked further down the road, and the US Dollar has just moved down to support in a bullish pennant formation.
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by  Oded Shimoni

British Pound Slightly Lower on Dovish BoE, Markets not Surprised

The British Pound traded slightly lower versus other major currencies after the BoE unanimously kept rates at status quo.
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Sharp Pound Rally a Greater Risk Than Selloff on BOE Outcome

The chance of a sharp British Pound advance is disproportionately greater than the probability of a selloff following the Bank of England monetary policy announcement.
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by  Nathalie Huynh

Gold and Copper Charge Ahead as Oil Rebounds to Weak USD

Sharp drop in USD lifted commodities, risk assets. Gold and copper sustained climbs, although oil may face consolidation given supply glut
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GBPUSD Breakout Levels- Key Resistance in Focus Ahead of BoE

The sterling breakout is eyeing down its first major resistance hurdle just shy of the 1.47-handle. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter.
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Global Stocks Are Working on Synchronous Bear Flag Formations

As markets have taken on a different tonality in 2016, many are still rushing to buy dips. Be careful, because that dip might just be part of a larger bear flag just waiting to break.
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USDOLLAR Eyes Major Support Ahead of ADP, ISM Services

Time for US economic data to put up or shut up.
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by    and Shuyang Ren

EUR/USD Risks Bullish Breakout on Slowing ISM Non-Manufacturing

EUR/USD may make a more meaningful attempt to break out its narrowing rate should the ISM report drag on interest rate expectations.
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by  Nathalie Huynh

Copper Flattens, Gold Holds up as Oil Slip Triggers Risk-Selling

An oil drop triggered risk-selling before today’s consolidation. Gold gained leverage while copper remained flat amid low volume
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