Articles

When Markets Recognize Speculation Has Outpaced Price


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Traders look to better project what the future holds relative to their peers so as to generate a greater return. Of course, such forecasts are sometimes correct and oftentimes incorrect.

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Poor US PMI Data Leave Dollar Unscathed


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A disappointing set of US purchasing managers’ index data had little impact on the Dollar.

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Strong Euro-Zone PMIs Beat Expectations, Boosting Euro


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The French, German and Euro-Zone PMIs all came in well above expectations, making a “tapering” of monetary stimulus more likely and boosting the Euro.

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Crude Oil Price Rises, Then Slips: Supply Cut Extension Deferred

A committee of major crude oil producers watered down a statement calling for an extension of December’s production cut, agreeing only to review the matter in April.
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PBOC Governor Zhou: We Are Open To You If You Are Open To Us

China’s central bank chief told the Boao Forum that much more of China’s financial sector could be opened up to foreign investors, as long as Chinese investors are respected overseas.
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Weekly Trading Forecast: Trump Trade Reversal in the Works?

The so-called “Trump Trade” may begin to unravel across financial markets after a failed healthcare reform effort cast doubt on the US President's economic policy agenda.
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Baker Hughes Rig Count & Tanker Prices Point To More Oil Oversupply

Here is one way to get a sense of the oversupply in the market due to US Oversupply. Look to see how much Gulf Tanker rates are rising.
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NZD/USD Remains Weak Helped by Central Bank Rhetoric

The Kiwi dollar is expected to move lower, much to the delight of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand
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USD/JPY Selloff to Face Fresh Fed Rhetoric; RSI Signal in Focus

USD/JPY may stage a near-term recovery going into Japan’s 2016 fiscal year-end as Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to speak throughout the final week of March.
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Gold Prices Recover Entire March Decline – FOMC, US GDP in Focus

Gold prices are rallied for a second consecutive week with the precious metal up more than 1.56% to trade at 1248 ahead of the New York close on Friday.
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Brexit Trigger in Focus for British Pound, More Strength Likely

The formal triggering of Brexit on Wednesday is the main event on the UK calendar in the coming week but the markets have become so used to the idea that the UK will leave the EU.
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European Political Risks Front-and-Center as ’Green Shoots’ Continue to Show

Data out of the Euro-Zone continues to impress, giving the impression that we may finally be seeing the ‘green shoots’ of a European economic recovery taking place
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Equity Markets Rattled, but Not Broken (Yet)

The economic calendar for the coming week is light with ‘high’ impact events. We have final Q4 GDP on Wednesday; Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) on Friday
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USD/CNH - The Less Weak Currency Will Take Control

The USD/CNH remained in a consolidation range, despite that the Dollar Index (DXY) has broken below a major support. This hints at both a weak Yuan and a weak Dollar.
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Australian Dollar Retreat Looks Unlikely to Stop

The Australian Dollar has been sliding ever since that US interest rate hike gave it a large and unexpected boost. Even if that slide doesn’t accelerate, its’ hard to see what could stop it.
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US Dollar Left Vulnerable as Trump Trade Narrative Unravels

The US Dollar remains vulnerable after two weeks of losses as the failure of US healthcare reform puts the “Trump trade” case for steep Fed rate hikes into question.
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EUR/JPY: Near-term Reversal Potential

A rebound off confluence support this week puts the focus on a break of near-term slope resistance. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter.
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EUR/USD Rebound Fizzles Ahead of 2017-High; Fed Speak, EZ CPI on Tap

The lack of momentum to test the 2017 high (1.0829) raises the risk for the near-term pullback in the EUR/USD exchange rate.
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S&P, USD, JPY Price Action to Face Critical Questions Next Week

The week after the rate hike didn't pan out so well for risk markets. But with a key piece of legislation up for vote later today, we likely haven't seen the end of this theme.
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Crude Oil Prices Pressure Key Support, Gold Snaps Win Streak

Crude oil prices await rig count and positioning data at trend-defining support. Gold prices broke a six-day win streak before a pivotal healthcare reform vote in Washington.
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US Dollar at the Mercy of Washington on Healthcare Bill Vote

The US Dollar is looking to Washington, DC for direction ahead of a vote on health care reform that has emerged as a referendum on the Trump administration’s governing ability.
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Japanese Yen Keeps Sliding After Mfg PMI Hits 3-Month Low

The Yen continued to slide against a more positive US Dollar with no pause for the news that Japan’s manufacturing sector expansion hit a 30-month low.
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S&P 500 Teeters- Key Levels to Know

The index is responding to near-term support today but we may not be out of the woods yet. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter.
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GBP/USD Revisits 1.2490 Hurdle; BoE Sticks to Cautious Script

The British Pound outperforms against most of its major counterparts as key data prints coming out of the U.K. economy undermine the cautious outlook held by the BoE.
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USD/JPY Breaches a Big Zone of Support: Is the Trump Trade Done?

USD/JPY has been supported around the ¥112.00 handle since the beginning of February; highlighting bullish continuation potential of the 'Trump Trade'. But that zone was just broken in a big way. Is the Trump Trade done in USD/JPY?
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GBP Bounces Higher After Strong ONS UK Sales Data

The UK consumer is still spending despite upcoming Brexit fears and falling real wages, but will it last?
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Japanese Yen Shrugs at Unchanged Cabinet Report

The Japanese Yen didn’t move much following the late release of the monthly official economic assessment by its home country’s Cabinet Office.
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