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Major US Banks Pass First Round Fed Stress Test, Second Round Ahead

Major US Banks Pass First Round Fed Stress Test, Second Round Ahead

by  Peter Hanks

The Fed’s annual stress test results Thursday showed all thirty-five major finance firms passed the worst case scenario, but shareholders now await the result of the second round in next week’s CCAR test for dividend and buyback signals.

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US AM Digest: Crude Futures Rise as OPEC Agree to 1mln bpd Oil Production Increase

US AM Digest: Crude Futures Rise as OPEC Agree to 1mln bpd Oil Production Increase

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OPEC agree to raise production by 1mln bpd, which will represent a real production increase of roughly 600k bpd. CAD soft after lower than expected CPI report.

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EURUSD Firms as Eurozone PMI Suggests Recovery in Growth

EURUSD Firms as Eurozone PMI Suggests Recovery in Growth

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Eurozone PMI suggests that Eurozone growth has recovered despite stagnant manufacturing which has been hampered by increased trade war tensions.

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by   ; ; ; ; ; ; ;  and Nicholas Cawley

Weekly Trading Forecast: EURUSD Policies Diverge, BoE and ECB Forum on Tap

Risk assets have broadly notched a week of retreat as trade wars have spread into the developed world economy. Themes are of greater consequence than specific data in the week ahead, but that poses more systemic threat than one-off indicators could have roused.
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Yuan Weakness to Persist on RRR Cut Bets, Trade War; Equity Losses May Ease

Both the Chinese Yuan and equities plunged this week. Looking forward, they may have different fates.
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US Dollar Rally May Regain Momentum Amid Trade War Worries

The US Dollar may regain upward momentum as worries about escalating trade wars spur haven-seeking capital flows in the week ahead.
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Gold Price Sell-off Deepens despite Rising Tariff, Trade War Concerns

Gold prices have remained under pressure despite growing concerns of a looming trade war. These are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter from here.
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by  Peter Hanks

Major US Banks Pass First Round Fed Stress Test, Second Round Ahead

The Fed’s annual stress test results Thursday showed all thirty-five major finance firms passed the worst case scenario, but shareholders now await the result of the second round in next week’s CCAR test for dividend and buyback signals.
Continue Reading

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Central Bank Weekly: British Pound Carves Out Reversal Candles after BOE

Odds of a 25-bps tightening move in August have increased from 48% yesterday to 68% today, per overnight index swaps.
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S&P 500, DAX & FTSE - How Will Markets Repond to Weakness Next Week?

The week ahead holds several key data events on the docket, indices technical posturing beginning to show cracks in the lining again.
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Chart Setups for Next Week - Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Litecoin

The Japanese Financial Services Agency (FSA) has ordered six domestic cryptocurrency exchanges to upgrade their internal auditing processes, causing a sharp sell-off across the market.
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Crude Oil Forecast: Rising Trade War Tensions to Keep a Lid on Oil Price Gains

OPEC agreed to increase output by 1mln bpd to reduce 'over compliance' with the current output agreement. Oil price gains likely to be capped amid rising trade tensions .
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USD/JPY Breaks the June Bullish Trend Despite Continued Inflation Lag

After spending the first half of June running higher within a bullish channel, USD/JPY broke-back down below the vaulted psychological level of 110.00, even as inflation remained below one-percent.
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GBP: Bullish Momentum Aided by Hawkish Bank of England

Sterling continues to climb back from recent lows and was given a boost by an unexpected hawkish twist at the latest BoE policy meeting. Ahead lies an important EU Summit with Brexit talks on the schedule.
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AUD/USD Mounts Larger Rebound Following Failed Run at May 2017 Low

AUD/USD may continue to retrace the decline from earlier this month as it snaps the recent string of lower highs & lows after failing to test the May 2017 low (0.7329).
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US AM Digest: Crude Futures Rise as OPEC Agree to 1mln bpd Oil Production Increase

OPEC agree to raise production by 1mln bpd, which will represent a real production increase of roughly 600k bpd. CAD soft after lower than expected CPI report.
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US Dollar Pullback Continues; Can the Dow Break its Losing Streak?

The Dow Jones has sold-off every day since last week's FOMC rate decision. But can a big zone of support combined with softening in the Dollar finally help the index to break its slump?
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USD/CAD Surges as May Canadian CPI Misses by Wide Margin

A much weaker May inflation report from Canada has the Loonie reeling this morning.
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Crude Oil Volaitility Expected as OPEC Increase Oil Production

OPEC’s 174th ordinary meeting takes place today where expectations are for a relaxing of the current oil supply quota’s.
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EURUSD Boosted by PMIs; Trade Tariffs Loom Large

The recent EURUSD rally got an extra uplift today after better-than-expected Eurozone PMIs allayed fears of a slowdown in the single-block, for now.
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EURUSD Firms as Eurozone PMI Suggests Recovery in Growth

Eurozone PMI suggests that Eurozone growth has recovered despite stagnant manufacturing which has been hampered by increased trade war tensions.
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Ripple Price Analysis: XRP Chart Set-Up Remains Negative

Ripple (XRP) continues to press against recent support and a clean break would see the token move back towards multi-month lows.
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Asian Stocks Mixed As Trade Worries Endure, OPEC In Focus

Asian equity markets put in a mixed performance to round out their week. Global trade worries seem to be driving sentiment but local-index downgrades aren’t helping
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New Zealand Dollar May Fall on US Data and Trade Wars. Not RBNZ

The New Zealand Dollar may depreciate next week as the US Dollar gains on GDP and PCE data while trade war fears rise. Volatility may to be subdued on the RBNZ rate decision.
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Crude Oil Prices May Fall Even If OPEC+ Output Boost Talks Fail

Crude oil prices may fall even if OPEC+ officials fail to reach a deal on a coordinated output boost amid worries about a free-for-all to follow.
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Japanese Yen Looks Past CPI for Sentiment, USD/JPY Rise Stalling?

The Japanese Yen looked past mostly in-line local inflation data for risk trends as the Nikkei 225 fell at market open. USD/JPY’s rise since late-May may be stalling.
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Asia AM Digest: Sentiment Turns Lower as USD Falls, Yen May Rise

After a couple days of consolidation, sentiment took a turn for the worst as the S&P 500 and US Dollar fell. The Yen may rise if Asian shares echo US losses with local CPI also on tap.
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