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Crude Oil Prices Drop as IEA Stokes Bets on Swing Supply Boost


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Crude oil prices tumbled as the IEA stoked bets that swing producers will boost supplies in the second half of 2017, just as OPEC’s production cut accord expires.

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Video: Scenario Analysis to China GDP, the ECB and Risk Trends


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Trading is a game of probabilities. Yet, too often traders approach with an unrealistic sense of certainty.

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GBP/USD Looks Past Soft UK House Price Survey, Focused on Brexit


by    and Christian Lewis

The British Pound looked beyond a soft survey of UK house prices from RICS as prices digested Brexit-related volatility seen earlier in the week.

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Euro May Not Find Lasting Lead in Status-Quo ECB Announcement

The Euro is unlikely to find follow-through beyond kneejerk volatility in an ECB monetary policy announcement that hews closely to the status quo.
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by  Daniel Dubrovsky

Australian Dollar Ticks Down On a Mixed Jobs Report

The Australian Dollar declined, albeit slightly, after a jobs report showed that the country added more jobs than expected while the unemployment rate increased.
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by  Varun Jaitly

US Dollar Rises as Fed’s Yellen Implies Foundation for Hikes

The US Dollar and Treasury yields rose sharply following comments from Fed Chair Janet Yellen.
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EUR/USD Rally Eyes Near-term Resistance Ahead of ECB

The euro advance is eyeing a key resistance confluence ahead of tomorrow's ECB interest rate decision. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter into the release.
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EUR/USD Rises After US Inflation Data

Headline US inflation hits 2.1%, the highest level since mid-2014, as energy prices jump.
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USD/JPY, GBP/USD, DXY Nearing Pivotal Support Zones

After an outsized rip in the final two months of last year, the U.S. Dollar is retracing a portion of its post-Election gains. But with a big zone of support nearing on USD/JPY and DXY, might trend-resumption be around-the-corner?
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DXY Slammed into Support, Yields Will Determine Next Move

Even as DXY Index fell back into the former highs of the 2015-2016 range, US yields were able to maintain elevation.
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Asian Markets Slip, Trump and Brexit on Their Minds

Asian financial markets tiptoed lower as investors digested UK Brexit plans and looked towards Donald Trump’s inauguration.
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Gold Prices May Snap Win Streak if US CPI Revives Fed Hike Bets

Gold prices may snap the longest winning streak in over two months if upbeat US CPI data revives Fed rate hike speculation, boosting yields and the US Dollar.
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by  Daniel Dubrovsky

Fed Presidents Dudley and Williams See 2% Price Target in Sight

Fed Presidents William Dudley and John Williams presented speeches on Tuesday and seemed optimistic about reaching the central bank’s price target.
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Gold Rebound Takes Out 1Q Targets- 1220 Barrier Critical

The rally is approaching key structural resistance with the long-bias at risk while below this threshold. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter.
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GBP/USD Eyes Last Line of Defense Ahead of UK Jobs, US CPI

A key reversal off slope support today puts cable back at resistance heading into major data tomorrow. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter.
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USDJPY Losses to Persist as Sentiment Abates & Double-Top Takes Shape

USD/JPY may continue to carve a near-term series of lower highs & lows as risk sentiment abates, while a double-top formation appears to be taking shape.
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Trump Hits the ’Strong Dollar’ While May Drives Cable Higher

Politics-driven moves headline the early portion of the week, but with U.S. inflation set to be released tomorrow, can the U.S. Dollar finally find some type of short-term support?
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British Pound Rallies as UK PM May Confirms Hard Brexit

UK Prime Minister Theresa May lays out her government’s plans for the UK to exit the Single Market, trade agreements and immigration.
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Sharp GBP/USD Reversal as May’s Brexit Approach Softens

More mayhem in GBP-crosses as the UK prime minister signals parliamentary inclusion in the Brexit process.
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Hard Brexit Fears May Derail Trump Trade Unwind as May Speaks

UK Prime Minister Theresa May is set to lay out her Brexit vision in a speech that may overwhelm markets and derail the unwinding of the so-called “Trump trade”.
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Asian Markets Slip Before UK PM May, China President Xi Speak

Asian markets had little to do except wait for the day’s big events, which will come after they close. UK PM Theresa May speaks on Brexit and Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks in Davos.
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FX Markets Look to CPI from UK & US, BOC & ECB, Chinese GDP

After a quiet economic calendar last week, there are significantly more events with greater event risk this week. Trump’s inauguration on Friday marks the dawn of a new era of fiscal and monetary policy across the developed world, unseen in the wake of the GFC of 2008/9.
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by  Varun Jaitly

BoE’s Carney Stuck Between Growth and Inflation after Pound Fall

The British Pound returned to its slide following comments from the Bank of England’s Governor Mark Carney as he spoke about risks to the economy.
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Brexit Briefing: The British Pound Weakens on UK PM’s Speech Speculation

GBPUSD dips below 1.2000 on talk that UK PM Theresa May’s speech Tuesday will signal a ‘hard’ Brexit from the European Union.
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British Pound Drop May Deepen on Carney Comments

The British Pound slumped amid “hard Brexit” fears in Asian trade. Comments from Bank of England Governor carney may amplify selling pressure.
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Asian Stocks Wilt, British Pound Hammered By New Brexit Worries

Asian markets were in poor shape to start the trading week. A weaker USD/JPY took its toll on the Nikkei but the British Pound was the session’s real dark star.
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Gold Prices Find Added Boost in Hard Brexit Worries

Gold prices found an added boost in “hard Brexit” worries at the start of the trading week having hit a seven-week high amid the unwinding of the “Trump trade”.
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