Articles

US Dollar Shrugs Off Decline in Preferred Fed Inflation Figure


by    and Daniel Dubrovsky

The US Dollar showed a limited response after the Fed’s preferred measure for inflation - personal consumption expenditures – slipped from a three-year high.

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Slowing Euro-Zone GDP, CPI to Cap EUR/USD Advance


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A marked slowdown in Euro-Zone growth and inflation may cap the near-term advance in EUR/USD as it fuels speculation for additional monetary support.

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USD/CAD FX Sentiment Hits Extremes as Pair Slips to Fresh 2016 Low


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Retail FX sentiment is pushing extremes as the crowd remains net-long USD/CAD even as the pair pushes to fresh 2016 lows.

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US Dollar to Refocus on Fed Policy Bets as BOJ Impact Fades

The US Dollar is likely to refocus on Fed policy bets as the impact from last week’s BOJ rate decision fizzles, with prices more responsive to upbeat data vs. the alternative.
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Gold Prices Surge But US Jobs Data Threatens Follow-Through

Gold prices jumped to a 15-month high last week but on-coming US employment data may refocus attention on Fed rate hike chances, curbing anti-fiat demand and capping gains.
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Weekly Trading Forecast: Systemic Changes Afoot for Risk, EURUSD, USDJPY?

Though still early yet, there have been some remarkable change in trend recently. Dollar is in retreat with the S&P 500 starting to slip. The Yen has surged while Gold has hit 15-month highs. Is something bigger stirring in the markets?
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Dollar Struggles as Rate Disbelief Lingers, Euro and Yen Gain Ground

The Dollar dove to end this past week at its lowest level in 11 months. The extension of the currency’s slide from its 13-year high set back in late January (now down over 4.5 percent) was fueled by a distinct loss of traction in rate forecasts.
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Australian Dollar Volatility to Continue on RBA, US Jobs Data

The Australian Dollar looks set for another week of breakneck volatility as another round of high-profile event risk comes across the wires.
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EUR/USD Showing Strength, But Data Still a Mixed Bag

The Euro just capped off a fairly strong week, rising against every major currency not named the Yen; but that had its own story behind it.
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Canadian Dollar Retains Upside Risk on Consistent Data Beats

A perfect storm has developed for Canadian Dollar bears. In addition to Oil having risen ~70% from the February 11 low and the US Dollar falling to levels not seen since June, the Canadian economy continues to outperform rivals in terms of economic new releases relative to economists’ expectations.
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Gold Price Surges to Largest Weekly Gain in 11 Weeks

Gold prices surged to the largest weekly gain of the past 11 weeks on the heels of the Fed doing nothing.
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Yuan at High Risk amid Liquidity, Econ Data and Commodity Volatility

Both the onshore (CNY) and offshore Yuan (CNH) closed at a slightly higher levels against the US Dollar on Friday, following the biggest move in Yuan’s daily reference rate set by China’s Central Bank in over 10 years.
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GBP/USD to Face Larger Advance on Lackluster Fed Rhetoric

The slew of fundamental developments coming out of the U.S. economy may play a larger role in driving GBP/USD volatility especially as the U.K. docket remains fairly light for the first full week of May.
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AUD/USD Retail FX Flip Ahead of RBA Meeting; Rate-Cut on Tap?

The retail crowd has flipped net-short AUD/USD ahead of the RBA meeting, with market participants raising bets for a rate-cut. 
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EUR/USD, Gold Drive to Resistance as USD Falls Through the Floor

There has been quite a bit of new information for markets to chew on this week, with even more to come next week. But how might traders approach USD as we drive to new lows?
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Yen Hits 18-Month High, US Dollar Seeks Lifeline in PCE Data

The Japanese Yen hit an 18-month high against the US Dollar as the greenback looks for a lifeline in the Fed’s favored PCE measure of inflation.
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Yen, Nikkei Strategy after the BoJ Hold

Japanese markets are back on the move after the BoJ held policy at last night's meeting. But does this mean we have a full-on return of risk aversion?
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EUR/USD to Eye Topside Targets on Disappointing 1Q U.S. GDP Report

A dismal 1Q U.S. GDP report may open up the topside targets for EUR/USD as it undermines speculation for a Fed rate-hike in June.
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Euro to Look Past German Data, US Dollar May Rise on Q1 GDP

The Euro is likely to overlook German inflation and jobs data while the US Dollar may rise as first-quarter US GDP data stokes near-term Fed rate hike bets.
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by  Daniel Dubrovsky

Yen Soars as Bank of Japan Leaves Monetary Policy Unchanged

The Japanese Yen strengthened across the board and Nikkei 225 futures tumbled amid risk aversion as the Bank of Japan left monetary policy unchanged.
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by  Daniel Dubrovsky

New Zealand Dollar Gains as RBNZ Disappoints Rate Cut Bets

The New Zealand Dollar gained against its major counterparts after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand down played the likely hood of future rate cut expectations.
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FOMC Holds Rates at April Meeting, Focus Moves to June

The Federal Reserve held interest rates at today's meeting, but did remove a key phrase indicating that we might not be waiting for long for that next hike.
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NZD/USD Risks Further Losses on Bets for Imminent RBNZ Rate-Cut

NZD/USD may continue to give back the advance from earlier this year should the RBNZ keep the door open to implement additional rate-cuts over the coming months.
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The FOMC Tightrope is Set to Continue

The word to watch for this afternoon is 'balance.' If the Fed transmits that they feel risks are balanced in the American economy, we may be nearer to a rate hike than many are expecting.
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EUR/USD Advance Vulnerable to Growing Dissent Within FOMC

A greater dissent within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) may drag on the near-term advance in EUR/USD as it boosts bets for a June rate-hike.
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by  Nathalie Huynh

Gold Price Bounces before Fed, Oil Price Rises on Stock Draw

Gold rebounded following soft US data and before the Fed meeting. Copper dipped with AUD while oil prices held up due to falling stocks
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Pound May Ignore Soft GDP Data, US Dollar Aims Higher on FOMC

The British Pound may overlook soft UK GDP figures while the US Dollar gains as the Federal Reserve boosts speculation about an interest rate hike in June.
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