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China, Greece, Fed Rates Vie for Attention Against Summer Conditions

China, Greece, Fed Rates Vie for Attention Against Summer Conditions

John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist

Talking Points:

• The 'Summer trading lull' is working to keep markets anchored against the crush of major headlines

• FX volatility around China's Yuan devaluation has cooled and Greece's third bailout was approved Friday

• Rate forecasting and the lurking threat of risk-based deleveraging will carry focus in the week ahead

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Though we have seen bombastic headlines and jolts of volatility recently, the market has not moved far. 'Summer trading conditions' seem to be in full swing and not easily swayed by news or technical breaks. This can make for difficult trading. Should we adapt to short-term swings and fade volatility that erupts from event risk? Or should we reconsider the often-mocked phrase 'this time is different'. Major fundamental themes these past weeks have been the greatest source of potential volatility recently, but the turbulence seems to be dissipating. Volatility on the Yuan after the shift in PBoC operations has cooled and Greece was approved for funds in its third bailout. Interest rate speculation for the Dollar and Pound will stir in the week ahead, but will this theme prove any more successful for securing major breakouts and trends? There are options for both restrained trading conditions and setups primed for the bigger market moves. We look at both sides in this weekend Trading Video.

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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