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EURUSD: Retail trader data shows 24.8% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 3.02 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Apr 18 when EURUSD traded near 1.06101; price has moved 5.5% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 3.4% higher than yesterday and 36.0% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 5.2% higher than yesterday and 30.0% higher from last week.
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests EURUSD prices may continue to rise. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger EURUSD-bullish contrarian trading bias.