To receive Ilya's analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE
Talking Points:
- US Dollar Technical Strategy: Holding Long via Mirror Trader Basket **
- Support: 11740, 11653, 11513
- Resistance:11791, 11888, 11983
The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar may be preparing to decline after prices put in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. Negative RSI divergence reinforces the case for a downside scenario. Near-term trend line support is in the 11740-73 area, marked by a rising trend line and the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 23.6% level at 11653. Alternatively, a push above the 11854-76 zone (March 2009 high, 14.6% Fib expansion) clears the way for a test of the 23.6% threshold at 11963.
Our long-term fundamental outlook calls for a broadly stronger US Dollar against its major currency counterparts. With that in mind, we are holding long via the Mirror Trader US Dollar currency basket.
Add these technical levels directly to your charts with our Support/Resistance Wizard app!
Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope
** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.
--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
