Skip to Content
News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View More
NZD/USD Technical Analysis: NZ Dollar Rejected at 2020 Trend Top?

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: NZ Dollar Rejected at 2020 Trend Top?

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

NZD/USD Technical ANALYSIS: BEARISH

  • New Zealand Dollar rebound rejected at 2020 downtrend resistance
  • Downside extension would see initial support above the 0.58 figure
  • Trader sentiment studies hint NZD/USD selling pressure building

The New Zealand Dollar appears to be trying to restart the downtrend prevailing against its US counterpart since the beginning of the year after rejection at resistance marking the move’s upper bound. An earlier attempt at bearish resumption two weeks ago failed to find follow-through but the subsequent recovery has likewise struggled to build lasting momentum.

Confirmation of a break below immediate resistance-turned-support at 0.6069 on a daily closing basis would likewise mark the breach of counter-trend support defining the upswing from the March 19 low. That may mean that a corrective upswing has run its course and the broader depreciation has resumed. Sellers then seem likely to challenge the April 3 swing low at 0.5844.

New Zealand Dollar vs US Dollar price chart - daily

NZD/USD daily chart created using TradingView

Establishing a foothold above falling trend line resistance seems like a prerequisite for neutralizing near-term selling pressure. Such a move would be promptly met with support-turned-resistance in the 0.6197-0.6245 zone. Overcoming that would likely put in play a series of back-to-back upside barriers running up toward the 0.65 figure, on route to the structural downtrend top set form July 2017.

Building Confidence in Trading
Building Confidence in Trading
Recommended by Ilya Spivak
Building Confidence in Trading
Get My Guide

NZD/USD TRADER SENTIMENT

Retail sentiment data shows 60.45%of traders are net-long, with the long-to-short ratio at 1.53 to 1. IG Client Sentiment(IGCS) is typically used as a contrarian indicator, soretail traders being net-long suggests that NZD/USD is biased downward. Furthermore, the net-long skew in open exposure has tilted further to the net-long side over the past week, hinting that selling pressure may become more acute ahead.

New Zealand Dollar vs US Dollar price, trader sentiment

See the full IGCS sentiment report here.

How to Use IG Client Sentiment in Your Trading
How to Use IG Client Sentiment in Your Trading
Recommended by Ilya Spivak
Improve your trading with IG Client Sentiment Data
Get My Guide

NZD/USD TRADING RESOURCES:

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Ilya, use the Comments section below or @IlyaSpivak on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES