News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • Will be discussing the Japanese #Yen and what you can expect throughout this week in about 15min! Signup for the webinar in the link below! https://t.co/Jbtd2hc5nU
  • Please join @ddubrovskyFX at 20:00 EST/00:00 GMT for a webinar on what other traders' buy/sell bets say about price trends. Register here: https://t.co/AzOQioRZER https://t.co/uy1tAhiwGY
  • RT @FxWestwater: $NZDUSD Wedge Breakout Back in Play on Stellar Q2 Jobs Report Link: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/asia_am_briefing/2021/08/03/NZDUSD-Wedge-Breakout-Back-in-Play-on-Stellar-Q2-Jobs-Report.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Westwater&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/YAIqqu5RDB
  • 🇦🇺 Markit Services PMI Final (JUL) Actual: 44.2 Previous: 56.8 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-08-03
  • $AUDNZD likely to attempt closing at a new 2021 low over the remaining 24 hours following the stellar New Zealand jobs report The December 2020 low has been further exposed at 1.0418 since July's #RBNZ rate decision New Zealand bond yields on the rise https://t.co/ipjwkSNt9n https://t.co/ncQX4hL8G3
  • Strong jobs report lifts $NZD - Money markets pricing in a 93% probability of a 25bps hike at the August meeting (previously 77%) - Over the forecast horizon, the RBNZ had projected (in the May MPS) the unemployment rate to gradually fall to 4.3% https://t.co/G5Ejzl2H6L
  • #NZDUSD cautiously higher after solid New Zealand jobs report Unemployment rate declined to 4.0% in Q2 from 4.7% prior (vs 4.4% anticipated) Job gains were at 1.7% y/y vs 1.2% expected Data seems to be supporting the case for a less-dovish #RBNZ given the cease to QE recently https://t.co/XmzhuLXh1H
  • 🇳🇿 Unemployment Rate (Q2) Actual: 4% Expected: 4.5% Previous: 4.7% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-08-03
  • 🇳🇿 Employment Change QoQ (Q2) Actual: 1% Expected: 0.7% Previous: 0.6% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-08-03
  • Heads Up:🇦🇺 Markit Services PMI Final (JUL) due at 23:00 GMT (15min) Previous: 56.8 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-08-03
AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Aussie Rallies Most in a Month

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Aussie Rallies Most in a Month

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

To receive Ilya's analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Talking Points:

  • AUD/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Australian Dollar issues largest daily advance in a month, exposes 0.73
  • Waiting for another selling opportunity after stop triggers on short trade

The Australian Dollar issued its largest daily advance in a month against its US namesake after upbeat GDP data reinforced an optimistic RBA policy announcement. Prices have now overtaken February’s swing high, paving the way for a move above the 0.73 figure.

From here, a daily close above the 50% Fibonacci expansion at 0.7325 opens the door for a challenge of the 0.7376-82 area, marked by the 61.8% level and the October 12 high. Alternatively, a reversal below the 38.2% Fib at 0.7274 sees the next downside barrier at 0.7211, the 23.6% expansion.

Our short position from 0.7233 was stopped out after prices closed above 0.7259. The dominant long-term trend still appears to be bearish however. With that in mind, we will move to the sidelines for now and wait for another selling opportunity in line with our 2016 fundamental forecast.

Is the Aussie Dollar trend matching FXCM traders’ positioning? Find out here!

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Aussie Rallies Most in a Month

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES