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Gold Price Outlook Bullish as XAU/USD Approaches Key Resistance

Gold Price Outlook Bullish as XAU/USD Approaches Key Resistance

2020-01-03 22:00:00
Dimitri Zabelin, Junior Currency Analyst
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GOLD PRICES OUTLOOK: BULLISH

  • Gold prices may continue to rise as XAU/USD approaches key resistance
  • Clearing the multi-layered ceiling opens the door to another bullish spike
  • However, technical cues on a monthly chart are sending worrying signals

Gold prices have risen a little over three percent after clearing the September descending resistance channel, around the same time the precious metal clocked in six-year highs. XAU/USD is now hovering just below the 1532.01-1535 resistance range (white dotted lines). If gold prices clear this area with follow-through, it could open the door to re-testing the multi-layered ceiling between 1551.96 and 1557.10.

Gold Prices – Daily Chart

Gold Daily Price Chart

Gold prices chart created using TradingView

Looking at a weekly chart shows the XAU/USD has been on a steady rise since late-2016, with the slope of appreciation steeping in May 2019 before buying pressure surrendered and a selloff ensued. Following the bearish correction, the yellow metal has made a recovery after bottoming out around 1445.82 (gold-dotted line), close to the 23.6 percent Fibonacci extension level.

Gold Prices – Weekly Chart

Gold Weekly Price Chart

Gold prices chart created using TradingView

However, zooming out to a monthly chart shows what could be a discouraging picture for gold bulls. Negative RSI divergence show upside momentum since August has been ebbing while gold prices trade above that month’s close. While this does not necessarily precede a turn lower, the incongruity between momentum and prices may be something traders will begin monitoring with greater scrutiny.

Gold Prices – Monthly Chart

Gold Monthly Price Chart

Gold prices chart created using TradingView

GOLD TRADING RESOURCES

--- Written by Dimitri Zabelin, Jr Currency Analyst for DailyFX.com

To contact Dimitri, use the comments section below or @ZabelinDimitrion Twitter

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