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Gold Prices Stall as US Dollar Firms

Gold Prices Stall as US Dollar Firms

Walker England, Forex Trading Instructor


Talking Points:

Gold prices are back trading under weekly highs, as the US Dollar gains strength in the short term. Technically gold prices remain bullish however, trading above both its 10 day EMA (exponential moving average) at $1,245.10 and 200 day MVA (simple moving average) at $1,245.35. Both of these averages are now acting as points of support for the commodity, and as long as gold holds above $1,245.35 traders may wish to continue targeting higher highs. If the US Dollar continues to rally however, traders may look for gold to drop below both averages signaling a chance in the markets current trend.

Gold Price, Daily Trend with Averages

(Created Using IG Charts)

The US Dollar Basket as depicted below is rallying in the short term, after trading to new 2017 lows at 98.64. This bounce has largely come on the Index finding support at the 200 day MVA, which is now found at 99.07. While this move should be seen as significant, traders should continue to monitor the 10 day EMA at 99.70. If the US Dollar remains above this point, it may suggest further weakening of US Dollar priced assets such as gold.

Alternatively, in the event that the US Dollar begins to weaken, traders should look for the Index to shift back below today’s 10 day EMA.A move below this value would place the US Dollar back on track in the direction of its 2017 trend. In this bearish US Dollar scenario, traders should ultimately look for the Index to not only challenge but close below it s200 day MVA.

US Dollar Basket, with Averages

(Created Using IG Charts)

--- Written by Walker, Analyst for

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.