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Crude Oil Drops Most in a Month, SPX 500 in Digestion Mode

Crude Oil Drops Most in a Month, SPX 500 in Digestion Mode

2015-02-19 05:48:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
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Talking Points:

  • US Dollar Slowly Drifting Lower Toward Range Floor
  • S&P 500 in Digestion Mode After Hitting Record High
  • Gold Stalls at $1200, Crude Oil Drops Most in a Month

Can’t access the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices may have finally started to turn lower as expected following the appearance of a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. Near-term support is at 11740, the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 23.6% level at 11653. Alternatively, a reversal above the 11854-76 zone (14.6% Fib expansion, March 2009 high) opens the door for a challenge of the 23.6% expansion at 11963.

Crude Oil Drops Most in a Month, SPX 500 in Digestion Mode

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices appear poised to continue upward after setting another record high. A break above the 76.4% Fibonacci expansion at 2112.20 exposes the 100% level at 2134.10. Alternatively, a reversal below the 61.8% Fib at 2098.60 targets the 50% expansion at 2087.60.

Crude Oil Drops Most in a Month, SPX 500 in Digestion Mode

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices challenging pivotal support at 1197.86, marked by the intersection of a channel floor, a rising trend line and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. A break below this barrier exposes the 76.4% level at 1171.96. Alternatively, a reversal above the 50% level at 1218.80 targets channel top resistance at 1227.65.

Crude Oil Drops Most in a Month, SPX 500 in Digestion Mode

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices corrected lower after reversing upward as expected. A break back below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 59.08 exposing the 23.6% level at 53.77. Alternatively, a break above the 50% Fib at 63.38 targets the 61.8% retracement at 67.68.

Crude Oil Drops Most in a Month, SPX 500 in Digestion Mode

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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