Talking Points:
- US Dollar Slowly Drifting Lower Toward Range Floor
- S&P 500 in Digestion Mode After Hitting Record High
- Gold Stalls at $1200, Crude Oil Drops Most in a Month
Can’t access the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **
US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices may have finally started to turn lower as expected following the appearance of a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. Near-term support is at 11740, the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 23.6% level at 11653. Alternatively, a reversal above the 11854-76 zone (14.6% Fib expansion, March 2009 high) opens the door for a challenge of the 23.6% expansion at 11963.
![](https://media.dailyfx.com/illustrations/2015/02/19/Crude-Oil-Drops-Most-in-a-Month-SPX-500-in-Digestion-Mode_body_Picture_5.png)
Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope
** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.
S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices appear poised to continue upward after setting another record high. A break above the 76.4% Fibonacci expansion at 2112.20 exposes the 100% level at 2134.10. Alternatively, a reversal below the 61.8% Fib at 2098.60 targets the 50% expansion at 2087.60.
![](https://media.dailyfx.com/illustrations/2015/02/19/Crude-Oil-Drops-Most-in-a-Month-SPX-500-in-Digestion-Mode_body_Picture_6.png)
Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope
GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices challenging pivotal support at 1197.86, marked by the intersection of a channel floor, a rising trend line and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. A break below this barrier exposes the 76.4% level at 1171.96. Alternatively, a reversal above the 50% level at 1218.80 targets channel top resistance at 1227.65.
![](https://media.dailyfx.com/illustrations/2015/02/19/Crude-Oil-Drops-Most-in-a-Month-SPX-500-in-Digestion-Mode_body_Picture_7.png)
Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope
CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices corrected lower after reversing upward as expected. A break back below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 59.08 exposing the 23.6% level at 53.77. Alternatively, a break above the 50% Fib at 63.38 targets the 61.8% retracement at 67.68.
![](https://media.dailyfx.com/illustrations/2015/02/19/Crude-Oil-Drops-Most-in-a-Month-SPX-500-in-Digestion-Mode_body_Picture_8.png)
Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope
--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
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