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COT-Speculative US Dollar Buying Frenzy

COT-Speculative US Dollar Buying Frenzy

2016-10-17 15:23:00
Jamie Saettele, CMT, Sr. Technical Strategist
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  • A USD speculative buying frenzy
  • Biggest net long position for copper specs since May 2015
  • 2+ year position extreme in crude oil

The difference between net speculative and net commercial positioning in DXY totaled 42,784 contracts in the week leading up to 10/11 (reporting date). The only larger readings were in September 2011 and March 2013 (both near short term USD tops).

For more analysis and trade setups, visit SB Trade Desk

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The COT Index is the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured. A blue colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bullish) with speculators selling and commercials buying. A red colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bearish) with speculators buying and commercials selling. Non-commercials tend to be on the wrong side at the turn and commercials the correct side. Use of the index is covered closely in detail in my book.

Latest CFTC Release dated October 11, 2016

Week (Data for Tuesdays)

52 week Percentile

US Dollar

69

Euro

37

British Pound

10

Australian Dollar

67

Japanese Yen

39

Canadian Dollar

45

Swiss Franc

10

Mexican Peso

47

Gold

51

Silver

53

Copper

98

Crude

100

Charts (all charts are continuous contract)

Non Commercials (speculators) – Red

Commercials – Blue

Small Speculators – Black

COTDiff (COT Index) – Black

US Dollar ICEUS Continuous Contract

COT-Speculative US Dollar Buying Frenzy

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Euro CME Continuous Contract

COT-Speculative US Dollar Buying Frenzy

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

British Pound CME Continuous Contract

COT-Speculative US Dollar Buying Frenzy

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Australian DollarCME Continuous Contract

COT-Speculative US Dollar Buying Frenzy

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Japanese YenCME Continuous Contract

COT-Speculative US Dollar Buying Frenzy

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Canadian DollarCME Continuous Contract

COT-Speculative US Dollar Buying Frenzy

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Swiss Franc CME Continuous Contract

COT-Speculative US Dollar Buying Frenzy

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Mexican Peso CME Continuous Contract

COT-Speculative US Dollar Buying Frenzy

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Gold COMEX Continuous Contract

COT-Speculative US Dollar Buying Frenzy

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Silver COMEX Continuous Contract

COT-Speculative US Dollar Buying Frenzy

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Copper COMEX Continuous Contract

COT-Speculative US Dollar Buying Frenzy

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Crude Oil NYMEX Continuous Contract

COT-Speculative US Dollar Buying Frenzy

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

--- Written by Jamie Saettele, CMT, Senior Technical Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Jamie e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter for real time updates @JamieSaettele

Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market and co-founder of SB Trade Desk.

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