Skip to Content
News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

Free Trading Guides
Please try again

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar Events


Notify me about

Live Webinar Events
Economic Calendar Events






More View More
Crude Oil Prices Slump Amid Iran Nuclear Deal Hopes

Crude Oil Prices Slump Amid Iran Nuclear Deal Hopes

Crude Oil Price Analysis & News

  • Weak Chinese Data Raises Demand Concerns
  • Brent Crude Oil Sell-Off Exacerbated by Iran Nuclear Deal Hopes
Oil Forecast
Oil Forecast
Recommended by Justin McQueen
Download our fresh Q3 Oil Forecast
Get My Guide

Crude oil futures have slumped this morning as Brent crude falls over 4% to start the week. Firstly, the initial move lower in oil stemmed from weak data out of China with retail sales posting a sizeable miss on expectations, raising concerns over the demand outlook for oil.

Source: DailyFX

Meanwhile, recent comments made by the Iranian Foreign Minister has since exacerbated the move lower in oil, having stated that consensus is close in negotiations on the condition that Iran’s redlines are respected. This in turn, has seen markets price in a higher probability that an Iran nuclear deal can be reached and thus oil prices have come under notable pressure throughout the London session. That being said, while a deal would likely see Brent crude oil head back below $90, focus is now on the response from the US, given that it is up to the US to decide if they agree with the three remaining issues. As such, oil sensitivity to headlines has increased. For those keeping a close eye on the latest oil sources, #OOTT on Twitter is vital for short-term intra-day oil traders. A reminder that for those trading FX, the Canadian Dollar is the most sensitive to oil prices as shown in the chart below.

30-Day FX Correlation to Oil

Brent Crude Oil Chart: Daily Time Frame

Source: Refinitiv

Oil - US Crude Bearish
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily 8% -7% 3%
Weekly 12% -17% 1%
What does it mean for price action?
Get My Guide

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.