We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Bitcoin
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • Indices Update: As of 05:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Wall Street: 0.35% US 500: 0.35% Germany 30: 0.31% France 40: 0.13% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/VHUHZF1Cyz
  • 🇯🇵 JPY Consumer Confidence Index (JAN), Actual: 39.1 Expected: 39.5 Previous: 39.1 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-01-29
  • Heads Up:🇯🇵 JPY Consumer Confidence Index (JAN) due at 05:00 GMT (15min), Actual: N/A Expected: 39.5 Previous: 39.1 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-01-29
  • The #Euro has broken four-month support guiding a recovery against the US Dollar to suggest that the long-term downtrend has been re-engaged. Get your EUR/USD market update from @IlyaSpivak here: https://t.co/FHiGQZ6zvV https://t.co/0ulmLWaZxK
  • The US Dollar may be on the verge of upside breakouts against #ASEAN currencies such as the Singapore Dollar and Malaysian Ringgit after Wuhan virus fears boosted $USDSGD and $USDMYR #SGD #USD - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/special_report/2020/01/29/Dollar-Technical-Outlook-May-Turn-Bullish-as-USDSGD-USDMYR-Rise.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702 https://t.co/1M1GTIo79r
  • $AUDJPY technical positioning hints prices may be on cusp of turning lower after a late-2019 bounce, recoupling with a dovish RBA policy outlook. Get your market update from @IlyaSpivak here: https://t.co/z84Y0V0ZtH https://t.co/e30wIlAkbF
  • Commodities Update: As of 03:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 1.45% Gold: -0.20% Silver: -0.42% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/SP0lbABAbq
  • Forex Update: As of 03:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇦🇺AUD: 0.13% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.05% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.06% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.07% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.12% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.17% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/3lgUbBP3XF
  • #EURGBP Outlook Bullish Ahead of #Brexit, BoE Rate Decision - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/home/analysis/eur-gbp/2020/01/29/EURGBP-Outlook-Bullish-Ahead-of-Brexit-BoE-Rate-Decision.html
  • My trading video for today: "Dow, Risk Attempt Recovery Amid Competing Theme: #Coronavirus, #Fed and #Earnings' https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2020/01/29/Dow-Risk-Attempt-Recovery-Amid-Competing-Theme-Coronavirus-Fed-and-Earnings.html?ref-author=Kicklighter?CHID=9&QPID=917719 https://t.co/VVmYBjVy63
DAX Weekly Forecast: Germany's DAX Chasing Record High

DAX Weekly Forecast: Germany's DAX Chasing Record High

2020-01-10 12:15:00
Justin McQueen, Analyst
Share:

DAX 30 Price Analysis & News

  • DAX Outlook: Chasing Record High Above 13,600
  • Phase 1 Deal Priced In
  • Growing Risk of a Top in the Short Term
DAX Weekly Forecast: Germany's DAX Chasing Record High

Source: Refinitiv

DAX | Germany’s DAX Chasing All-Time High

The beginning of week had largely been characterized by risk aversion, stemming from a rise in geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran. In turn, equity markets had largely been on the backfoot. However, the initial concerns were quickly forgotten as both sides refrained from escalation tensions further and thus relief rally had propelled the DAX higher, gaining over 4% from the weekly lows. Consequently, with investors piling back into equities, Germany’s DAX is now chasing its all-time peak at 13,601.

Moving Averages: 50DMA (13,232), 100DMA (12,928), 200DMA (12,512)

Phase 1 Trade Deal Expected to be Signed, However, this is Price in

As we look towards next week, with little scheduled from a Eurozone and German standpoint, other than final readings for inflation, the German DAX is likely to take its cue from the broader risk environment. As a reminder, the US and China are expected to sign the Phase 1 trade deal on January 15th. However, this has been largely priced in, therefore the impact on equity markets could be somewhat muted, unless there are concerns that the signing of the deal could be delayed.

Risk of a Top?

Amid the persistent upside across global equities, Bank of America’s Bull and Bear indicator has hit a 21-month high, consequently nearing extreme bullish sentiment. As such, they note that their indicator has provided its first sell signal since January 2018. Coincidently, this had preceded the sharp violent sell-off seen in February 2018. That said, this raises questions as to whether the DAX 30 is nearing a top in the short run.

DAX Price Chart: Daily Time Frame (Nov 2018 – Jan 2020)

DAX 30 Record High

Source: IG Charts

Trading the Dax 30: Trading Strategies and Tip

--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst

To contact Justin, email him at Justin.mcqueen@ig.com

Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.