Skip to Content
News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Please try again
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View More
USD/CNH Price Analysis - Breaking Lower as US-China Trade Deal Nears

USD/CNH Price Analysis - Breaking Lower as US-China Trade Deal Nears

Nick Cawley, Senior Strategist

USD/CNH Price Forecast, Analysis and Chart:

  • China will sign phase one of US-China trade deal next week.
  • USD/CNH may be allowed to slip lower.
USD Forecast
USD Forecast
Recommended by Nick Cawley
Download our Brand New Q1 Forecasts
Get My Guide

A Brief History of Trade Wars

USD/CNH Downtrend Continues to Multi-Month Lows

USD/CNH made a fresh 5-month low today around 6.9180 as Chinese Yuan buyers drove the pair lower. Market talk is that the Bank of China is standing back and not actively intervening in propping the Chinese Yuan up ahead of next week’s signing of phase one of the US-China trade deal. A recent article in the South China Morning Postposited that there may be clauses in next week’s deal that prohibit China from manipulating its currency. US President Trump has been very vocal about the effects of the weak Chinese Yuan on the US economy. Chinese Vice Premier Liu will lead the Chinese delegation to the US to sign the deal on January 15.

US-China Trade War & a Brief History of Trade Wars – 1900 until Present

The daily USD/CNH chart shows the defined downtrend in the pair since the early September high just under 7.2000. A series of lower highs and lower lows continue, while USD/CNH is now under all three moving averages, another negative set-up. The chart shows a cluster of old highs and lows between mid-May and mid-June last year that may slow down any further sell-off with the medium-term target for the pair down just below 6.8200. The CCI indicator shows that USD/CNH is currently oversold, although not at the extreme levels seen in mid-December.

For all economic data and events, see the DailyFX Economic Calendar.

USD/CNH Daily Price Chart (January 2019 - January 9, 2020)

USDCNH daily price chart
How to Use IG Client Sentiment in Your Trading
How to Use IG Client Sentiment in Your Trading
Recommended by Nick Cawley
Improve your trading with IG Client Sentiment Data
Get My Guide

Traders may be interested in two of our trading guides – Traits of Successful Traders and Top Trading Lessons – while technical analysts are likely to be interested in our latest Elliott Wave Guide.

What is your view on the US Dollar and Chinese Yuan – bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author at or via Twitter @nickcawley1.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.