Skip to content
News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Gold Price Outlook: Boosted by Risk Sentiment, Eyes US NFP Report

Gold Price Outlook: Boosted by Risk Sentiment, Eyes US NFP Report

Nick Cawley, Strategist

Gold (XAU) Price, Charts and Analysis

  • Gold bounces back as Equity markets crumble.
  • US Labor Report (NFP) the next market driver.

Q3 2019 Gold Forecast and Top Trading Opportunities

Gold (XAU) Bounces Back on Growing Recession Fears

The price of gold has moved back to the $1,500/oz. level after hitting a mid-week low of $1,460/oz. as global recession fears continue to spook the market. Equity took the brunt of the sentiment shift, while risk-on currencies – AUS, NZD and CAD - were also hammered lower. The recent US ISM manufacturing print hit a decade low, adding fuel to the recent risk-off move, while Wednesday’s WTO ruling that the US can impose tariffs on USD7.5 billion of EU goods has heightened fears of further trade war disruptions.

Gold is marking time either side of $1,500/oz. and the 20-day moving average, with a cluster of lows between $1,485/oz. and $1,495/oz. providing a zone of support. Below here there is support off the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $1,463.5/oz. To the upside, $1,510 - $1,512/oz. is the first level of resistance gold needs to overcome before $1,536/oz. comes into play. Gold will need to close above this level to break the recent downtrend pattern and set itself up for a run at the recent six-and-a-half high at $1,557/oz.

Gold Price Daily Chart (March – October 3, 2019)

Gold Price Outlook: Boosted by Risk Sentiment, Eyes US NFP Report

IG Client Sentiment data show that 65.0% of retail traders are net-long of gold, a bearish contrarian indicator. See how daily and weekly shifts in positioning change trader sentiment.

Live Data Coverage: US Non-Farm Payrolls - Webinar – Friday 12.15 GMT

How to Trade Gold: Top Gold Trading Strategies and Tips

Traders may be interested in two of our trading guides – Traits of Successful Traders and Top Trading Lessons – while technical analysts are likely to be interested in our latest Elliott Wave Guide.

What is your view on Gold – bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author at nicholas.cawley@ig.comor via Twitter @nickcawley1.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES