We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Bitcoin
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • RT @next_china: U.S., China chief trade negotiators spoke by phone on Saturday, Xinhua reports https://t.co/dMQtd0g4jY
  • The $AUDUSD and $EURUSD downtrend may prolong as traders counterintuitively buy into their descent. Meanwhile, the USD/CAD uptrend may accelerate on rising net-short bets. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here: https://t.co/dlzJ31kf3f https://t.co/xp8P9MmCgb
  • As we head into next week, Cable is continuing to digest the massive leg higher last month, which at some point soon could mean another surge. Get your $GBPUSD technical analysis from @PaulRobinsonFX here: https://t.co/LJ42YhDe3X https://t.co/5hGwhGBpLB
  • Asia’s vast and growing importance to the world economy is not yet matched by the presence of a currency trading center to rival the established order. Get your update on market drivers in Asia from @DavidCottleFX here: https://t.co/E2hqoRdO7q https://t.co/urMnUCq4fn
  • RT @markets: White-hot pot stocks have flamed out in spectacular fashion https://t.co/3GsVsRyZaZ
  • What is the best time to trade #forex? Find out: https://t.co/M9R46r5ewa #tradingstyle https://t.co/gJ1QDrox67
  • #Gold prices may be given a tailwind from the FOMC minutes and escalating trade war risks if they fuel demand for anti-fiat assets amid expectations of additional Fed easing. Get your $XAUUSD market update from @ZabelinDimitri here: https://t.co/OJ7WUY9W7E $gld https://t.co/kBp3opzptm
  • Why should you set trading goals? How can it help regardless of what your #tradingstyle is? Find out: https://t.co/AYdD7ODlv1 https://t.co/G0ftVurNNN
  • Manning the penalty box today...i hope there aren't too many visitors https://t.co/1y81Li7laL
  • Do you think your #tradingstyle is of a #FOMO trader? Find out how you can turn that to #JOMO? Find out: https://t.co/79Q4pYdVEd https://t.co/S82AOd5AeP
Japanese Yen Steady As BoJ Stands Pat, Fed Policy Looms Larger

Japanese Yen Steady As BoJ Stands Pat, Fed Policy Looms Larger

2018-12-20 03:17:00
David Cottle, Analyst
Share:

Japanese Yen, Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Decision, Talking Points:

  • The Bank of Japan left its monetary settings alone yet again on Thursday
  • The Japanese Yen didn’t move far on the move, with focus still on the Federal Reserve’s Wednesday policy call
  • The Yen has benefitted from the markets’ ‘risk off’ temperament since then

Fourth-quarter technical and fundamental forecasts from the DailyFX analysts are out now.

The Bank of Japan kept its monetary settings on hold yet again Thursday, but the Japanese Yen didn’t move much on the news. Market focus was firmly on another central bank- the US Federal Reserve.

The Fed raised interest rates on Wednesday, as had been widely expected, it also suggested that fewer rises could come in 2019, and that action from here could be more dependent on the economic data flow than it has been. At face value this looks like a relatively ‘dovish’ package, but the markets had clearly hoped for even more and the bout of risk aversion seen since has supported the Japanese Yen.

For its part the Bank of Japan left its key short-term policy balance rate at -0.1% and maintained its ten-year Japanese Government Bond yield target at 0.0%. It remains committed to its now-ancient policy of extreme monetary accommodation until such time as domestic inflation sustainably reaches an annualized rate of 2%. At last look it was well below that at 1.4%, with the 2% target rate now not achieved since early 2015.

USD/JPY had risen previously as markets judged the Fed at least less ‘dovish’ on interest rates than they had hoped. However, the pair made no further gains after the BoJ stuck to its guns.

US Dollar Vs Japanese Yen, 5-Minute Chart

The US Dollar is still arguably winning the ‘battle of the havens’ with the Japanese Yen, with USD/JPY still quite close to its 2018 highs.

Uptrend Breaking? US Dollar Vs Japanese Yen, Daily Chart.

That said this week’s Federal Reserve interest rate rise has sparked an immediate ‘risk off’ reaction in the markets, which had clearly hoped for more 'dovishness' on interest rates than they got. Investors have decided that caution is warranted now, and USD/JPY has slipped below the uptrend channel which had previously been in place since June. Focus now is on a support zone between this month’s lows and the 113.29 low of October 26.

If Dollar bulls can defend this zone, then USD/JPY’s uptrend could yet get back on track. If they can’t look out for deeper falls, but the usual caveats about holiday-thinned trading will probably apply through next week.

Resources for Traders

Whether you’re new to trading or an old hand DailyFX has plenty of resources to help you. There’s our trading sentiment indicator which shows you live how IG clients are positioned right now. We also hold educational and analytical webinars and offer trading guides, with one specifically aimed at those new to foreign exchange markets. There’s also a Bitcoin guide. Be sure to make the most of them all. They were written by our seasoned trading experts and they’re all free.

--- Written by David Cottle, DailyFX Research

Follow David on Twitter@DavidCottleFX or use the Comments section below to get in touch!

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.