News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • The British Pound, Australian Dollar and US Dollar may all experienced heightened periods of volatility as geopolitical risks in North America, Asia and Europe rattle global financial markets. Get your $GBPUSD market update from @ZabelinDimitri here:https://t.co/0EFToM5Y8I https://t.co/TJgBeTgamc
  • Excerpt from my #USD weekly forecast - "The premonitions of slower growth, compounded by political volatility from the election may cushion USD’s decline if it triggers a flight to havens" https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/usd/2020/10/25/US-Dollar-Torn-Between-Q3-Corporate-Earnings-US-GDP-Data-Virus-Spike.html
  • $USD | US Dollar Outlook - via @DailyFX "The US Dollar looks primed for heightened volatility this week as election risk intensifies and key themes like stimulus talks, equity earnings, and COVID-19 restrictions exacerbate uncertainty." Link to Analysis: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/us_dollar_index/usd_trading_today/2020/10/26/usd-price-outlook-us-dollar-in-the-hot-seat-as-election-nears.html https://t.co/B6HS0ecNPD
  • There are some major economies set to update on the health through the third quarter this week. The US and Eurozone are later this week, but South Korea is due to report this morning. When was the last time you took a look at the $USDKRW? https://t.co/UQLHfonxnO
  • Heads Up:🇳🇿 Balance of Trade (SEP) due at 21:45 GMT (15min) Previous: N$-353M https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-10-26
  • The Euro remains the largest long by some margin, despite investors trimmed their bullish bets yet again. While the blue wave election trades are USD negative. Get your market update from @JMcQueenFX here:https://t.co/FxzsRmXYVN https://t.co/V4n7ncl1WA
  • Forex Update: As of 20:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇯🇵JPY: -0.10% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.13% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.16% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.40% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.43% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.66% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/YlP6D1tUc2
  • Commodities Update: As of 20:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Gold: -0.03% Oil - US Crude: -0.08% Silver: -1.40% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/4D7w33mAud
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.86%, while traders in NZD/USD are at opposite extremes with 73.83%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/48N5RecRwt
  • RT @Nadex: Will the Dow be bullish or bearish after Nov. 3? Make your prediction today for a chance to win $5,000.* https://t.co/EXtYKMxrrW…
GBP Price Action Soured by Negative Brexit Sentiment

GBP Price Action Soured by Negative Brexit Sentiment

2018-09-21 09:20:00
Nick Cawley, Strategist
Share:

Sterling (GBP) and Brexit Talking Points:

  • Brexit talks take a turn for the worse, dampening enthusiasm for Sterling.
  • Focus now turns to domestic Brexit politics and that may spell trouble for PM May.

The DailyFX Q3 GBP Forecast is available to download.

Fundamental and Technical Outlook for Sterling Turns Gloomy

Sterling’s two-week rally came to an abrupt halt late Thursday after the EU once again rejected PM Theresa May’s Chequers plan, putting Brexit negotiation risk back on the table. All the positive talk and sentiment leading up to the informal EU meeting in Salzburg was brushed aside after Donald Tusk, European Council President, said the plan ‘would not work’ and that the UK would have to go back to the drawing board.

Sterling’s rally has been built upon growing consensus that the EU would be more flexible going forward into the October EU Summit meeting and that now needs to be reassessed after the latest official EU commentary. PM May now faces a rebellious Conservative Party with a growing faction now looking for a no-deal Brexit, believing that the Chequers proposal did not go far enough. The annual four-day Conservative Party conference starts on September 30 in Birmingham and is now seen as a platform for hard Brexiteers to vent their anger, leaving the PM’s leadership in doubt.

A look at the four-hour GBPUSD chart shows that the recent, dominant, uptrend is coming under pressure. Thursday’s early rally was mainly fueled by a weak US dollar which sold-off heavily during the European morning. The uptrend from the September 5 low at 1.27850 is now being challenged and a break and close below will see further losses. The downside is protected by psychological support at 1.32000, followed by the 20-day moving average – which held recently – around 1.31870. Below here the 50-day moving average at 1.31170 comes into play and should provide solid support.

IG Retail Sentiment shows that traders are 54.8% long of GBPUSD - normally a bearish signal - but recent sentiment shifts give us a mixed trading bias.

GBPUSD Four-Hour Price Chart (August 7 – September 21, 2018)

GBP Price Action Soured by Negative Brexit Sentiment

DailyFX analyst Paul Robinson’s latest video on how to become a better, more consistent trader is a must listen for market participants seeking an edge. As Paul notes early in his piece, Markets are too dynamic, full of too much uncertainty, to try and navigate them without a framework in place. Trading plans are imperative for creating consistent results'.Becoming a Better Trader – How to Create a Trading Plan.

Traders may also be interested in two of our trading guides – Traits of Successful Traders and Top Trading Lessons – while technical analysts are likely to be interested in our latest Elliott Wave Guide.

--- Written by Nick Cawley, Analyst

To contact Nick, email him at nicholas.cawley@ig.com

Follow Nick on Twitter @nickcawley1

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES