Never miss a story from Nick Cawley

Subscribe to recieve updates on publications
Please enter valid First Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid Last Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid email
Please fill out this field.
Please select a country

I’d like to receive information from DailyFX and IG about trading opportunities and their products and services via email.

Please fill out this field.

Your Forecast Is Headed to Your Inbox

But don't just read our analysis - put it to the rest. Your forecast comes with a free demo account from our provider, IG, so you can try out trading with zero risk.

Your demo is preloaded with £10,000 virtual funds, which you can use to trade over 10,000 live global markets.

We'll email you login details shortly.

Learn More about Your Demo

You are subscribed to Nick Cawley

You can manage your subscriptions by following the link in the footer of each email you will receive

An error occurred submitting your form.
Please try again later.

USDJPY News and Talking Points

- USDJPY gets a political bid as the US ramps up action against China and the EU.

- Recent uptrend breaks as technical indicators collide.

The DailyFX Q2 Trading Forecasts for all major currencies, commodities and indices, are now availableto download to help you make more informed trading decisions.

USDJPY – Fundamental and Technical Boost for the Japanese Yen

USDJPY looks set to weaken further as political risk takes the shine of the US dollar on increased trade war fears. Over the weekend US President Trump said that if the EU does not remove trade barriers and tariffs placed on US products then it would place a 20% tariff on all EU cars entering the US, an action that would hit Germany hard. Trump later tweeted that if trade barriers are not removed, more ‘reciprocity’ would be on the way. The US is also looking to restrict Chinese investments in ‘sensitive’ US industries under an act that allows these investments to be deemed a threat to national security.

US China Trade War & a Brief History of Trade Wars

USDJPY gained a strong bid on the back of the latest escalation and broke back below 110 as the Yen became the favoured safe-haven. The chart shows a cluster of indicators around the 110 level with USDJPY now trading below the 20-, 50- and 200-day moving average while the pair also trade below the uptrend line started at the end of March. USDJPY is also trading just below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at 109.685 and now eyes the next support level at 108.493. On the upside the cluster of moving averages should offer initial resistance ahead of 110.877.

The latest IG Client Sentiment Indicator shows retail are 47.9% long USDJPY and recent positional changes give us a stronger bullish contrarian trading bias.

USDJPYDaily Price Chart (January 2017 – June 25, 2018)

USDJPY Hit by Trade War Rhetoric; Technical Indicators Collide

If you are new to foreign exchange, or if you would like to update your knowledge base, download our New to FX Guide and our Traits of Successful Traders to help you on your journey.

What’s your opinion on the USDJPY? Share your thoughts with us using the comments section at the end of the article or you can contact the author via email at Nicholas.cawley@ig.com or via Twitter @nickcawley1

--- Written by Nick Cawley, Analyst