Never miss a story from David Cottle

Subscribe to receive daily updates on publications
Please enter valid First Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid Last Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid email
Please fill out this field.
Please select a country

I’d like to receive information from DailyFX and IG about trading opportunities and their products and services via email.

Please fill out this field.

Your Forecast Is Headed to Your Inbox

But don't just read our analysis - put it to the rest. Your forecast comes with a free demo account from our provider, IG, so you can try out trading with zero risk.

Your demo is preloaded with £10,000 virtual funds, which you can use to trade over 10,000 live global markets.

We'll email you login details shortly.

Learn More about Your Demo

You are subscribed to David Cottle

You can manage your subscriptions by following the link in the footer of each email you will receive

An error occurred submitting your form.
Please try again later.

Japanese Yen, Trade, BOJ Opinions Talking Points:

  • The Japanese Yen weakened after Thursday’s data dump
  • However, it’s unlikely that the numbers affected it much, the US Dollar is generally stronger
  • The BOJ again pressed the need for powerful monetary easing

New to trading Currency majors like the Japanese Yen? Try the DailyFX Beginners’ Guide

The Japanese Yen against a generally stronger US Dollar following a raft of local economic data released on Thursday.

Japan’s March trade balance- on the balance of payments basis- rose to JPY1190.7 billion ($10.8 billion), above the JPY 1023.1 billion expected and way ahead of February’s JPY188.71 billion. Japan’s overall current account stood in surplus to the tune of JPY3122 billion, again well above expectations.

Japan stands as something of a global trade bellwether and any data confirming a robust performance is likely to be welcomed. However, the real trade game is being played out between Beijing and Washington- with talks continuing next week and their looming presence may render all previous trade numbers a little too historic for the market.

The summary of opinions from the Bank of Japan’s last monetary policy meeting was released simultaneously. This highlighted the need to continue with powerful monetary easing if the elusive inflation target is to be hit. One member of the policy board wanted to discuss policy normalization and an exist from easing, the summary showed. However with inflation still so far from target this is likely to remain a minority view.

USD/JPY continued to climb after the data but this is likely to be more a function of general moves into the greenback. The BoJ admitted again that it is likely to take some time before inflation hits 2%. It seems likely that the central bank remains as far as ever from tightening policy, despite some market expectations earlier this year that it might move to do so relatively quickly.

The BoJ also expressed concern that a potential tightening of US financial conditions could affect emerging economies and disrupt global markets.

USD/JPY 5 Mins Chart

On its broader, daily chart the pair remains in a clear uptrend channel as it has ever since the lows of late March. However, the highs of mid-February in the 110.39 region still appear to be a formidable barrier to Dollar bulls.

USD/JPY Daily Chart

Resources for Traders

Whether you’re new to trading or an old hand DailyFX has plenty of resources to help you. There’s our trading sentiment indicator which shows you live how IG clients are positioned right now. We also hold educational and analytical webinars and offer trading guides, with one specifically aimed at those new to foreign exchange markets. There’s also a Bitcoin guide. Be sure to make the most of them all. They were written by our seasoned trading experts and they’re all free.

--- Written by David Cottle, DailyFX Research

Follow David on Twitter@DavidCottleFX or use the Comments section below to get in touch!