DailyFX US AM Digest: US Dollar at Fresh Highs after September Jobs Data
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The US Dollar is pushing its highest level in a month after the September US jobs report this morning. Although the headline Nonfarm Payrolls figure came in at -33K, Hurricanes Harvey and Irma were blamed for the surprisingly weak result. The Household Employment Survey – the report by which the Unemployment Rate is derived – showed the economy gained +90K jobs. Accordingly, the Unemployment Rate fell to a cycle low of 4.2%, while the Labor Force Participation Rate rose to 63.1%. With wages pressures increasing to multi-year highs as well, the US Dollar has been well-bid throughout the morning so far. Read the full market alert here.
DailyFX Economic Calendar: Friday, October 6, 2017 - North American Data Releases
Now that the bulk of the major North American economic data is out of the way – both the American and Canadian labor market reports for September – the newswire should slowdown as the final hours of the trading week tick off the clock. Watch for the release of the CFTC’s COT report at 15:30 EDT/19:30 GMT today, which will reveal positioning in major instruments through the week ended October 3, 2017.
DailyFX Webinar Calendar: Monday, October 9, 2017
IG Client Sentiment Index Chart of the Day: Spot Gold
Spot Gold: Retail trader data shows 78.9% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 3.75 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 3.8% lower than yesterday and 10.3% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 0.2% higher than yesterday and 16.0% lower from last week.
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Spot Gold prices may continue to fall. Positioning is less net-long than yesterday but more net-long from last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed Spot Gold trading bias.
Five Things Traders are Reading
- “US Dollar Unfazed Despite 33K Job Loss Following Non-Farm Payrolls” by Dylan Jusino, DailyFX Research
- “Trading Outlook: Dollar, GBPUSD & Gold Post-NFPs, into Next Week” by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst
- “US Dollar Outlook and Preview for September NFPs” by Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Currency Strategist
- “S&P 500 Rips Through Top-side T-line Resistance, Now What?” by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst
- “How Much Further Will Dow Jones Industrial Average Trend Continue?” by Jeremy Wagner, CEWA-M, Head Forex Trading Instructor
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