We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Bullish
Gold
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Bitcoin
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • European Opening Calls from IG: #FTSE 7253 -0.11% #DAX 12824 +0.20% #CAC 5666 +0.22% #MIB 22392 +0.18% #IBEX 9399 +0.14% #STOXX 3611 +0.11% #SA40 49426 +0.37%
  • As China’s growth slows, the currency of the other Asian titan ought to be burnished as investors look for opportunities elsewhere. However, that’ s not happening. Get your market update from @DavidCottleFX here: https://t.co/ETBCpBDSS7 https://t.co/pYEpteYeSO
  • Palladium Vastly Outperformed Gold Prices in 2019. Is it Topping? - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/article/special_report/2019/10/24/Palladium-Vastly-Outperformed-Gold-Prices-in-2019.-Is-it-Topping.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Spivak&utm_campaign=twr #xpdusd #PALLADIUM
  • My trading video for today: 'Dow Winds Up Despite #Earnings Run, Watch $EURUSD with #ECB, Brexit Anticipation' https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2019/10/24/Dow-Winds-Up-Despite-Earnings-Run-Watch-EURUSD-with-ECB-Brexit-Anticipation.html?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Kicklighter&utm_campaign=twr
  • The #Euro has mounted an impressive rally against the US Dollar, moving to challenge the bounds of the trend leading it lower since mid-2018. Get your $EURUSD market update from @IlyaSpivak here: https://t.co/fIkLmThWMK https://t.co/W7QwuWhrTg
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 96.95%, while traders in US 500 are at opposite extremes with 78.66%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/2j4Lx7rVLT
  • #BRL, #ZAR and #GBP are expected to be the most-active majors versus #USD with one-week implied volatility at 13.55, 13.13 and 11.17 respectively
  • Forex Update: As of 04:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇯🇵JPY: 0.08% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.05% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.03% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.05% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.10% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.26% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/Fy3dfUZ2kK
  • Indices Update: As of 04:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: France 40: 0.14% US 500: 0.08% Wall Street: 0.06% Germany 30: 0.06% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/J8oNDusqYy
  • #DAX: Currently the market is trying to push beyond the reversal-day high, but if it does the December t-line and a minor swing-high from July 2018 stand in a way of a further advance. Get your DAX technical analysis from @PaulRobinsonFX here: https://t.co/1Yus7TddGo https://t.co/jiwN6z3TFB
Gold Price Correction Remains in Play as RSI Tracks Bearish Trend

Gold Price Correction Remains in Play as RSI Tracks Bearish Trend

2019-10-02 00:30:00
David Song, Currency Strategist
Share:

Gold Price Talking Points

The price of gold pares the decline from earlier this week as the US ISM Manufacturing survey slips to a 10-year low, but the precious metal may continue to search for supportas a head-and-shoulders formation takes shape.

Gold Price Correction Remains in Play as RSI Tracks Bearish Trend

Gold bounces back from the weekly-low ($1459) as the ISM Manufacturing survey unexpectedly narrows to 47.8 from 49.1 in August to mark the lowest reading since 2009, and dismal data prints coming out of the US economy may continue to shore up the precious metal as the growing divide at the Federal Reserve raises the threat of a policy error.

Signs of a slowing economy is likely to put increased pressure on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to reverse the four rate hikes from 2018 especially as President Donald Trump tweets “Fed rate too high,” but it seems as though the central bank is in no rush to further embark on its rate easing cycle as Chairman Jerome Powell and Co. see the benchmark interest rate around 1.50% to 1.75% ahead of 2020.

At the same time, recent remarks from Chicago Fed President Charles Evans suggest the central bank will move to the sidelines after delivering back-to-back rate cuts as the 2019-voting member on the FOMC expects “the US economy to grow about 2-1/4 percent this year.”

Mr. Evans goes onto say that “there are limits to what monetary policy can do” as the Trump administration struggles to reach a trade deal with China, with the official talking down the risk of a policy error as he sees inflation “modestly” overshooting the 2% target over the policy horizon.

Image of Fed Fund futures

Nevertheless, Fed Fund futures now reflect a greater than 60% probability for another 25bp reduction at the next interest rate decision on October 30, but the growing divide at the Federal Reserve may push the central bank to the sidelines as Chairman Powell argues that “the future course of monetary policy will depend on how the economy evolves.”

With that said, the mixed language coming out of the FOMC may push market participants to hedge against fiat-currencies, but recent price action in gold warns of a larger correction as a head-and-shoulders formation takes shape.

Sign up and join DailyFX Currency Strategist David Song LIVE for an opportunity to discuss potential trade setups.

Gold Price Daily Chart

Image of gold daily chart

Source: Trading View

  • Keep in mind, the broader outlook for gold prices remain constructive as both price and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) clear the bearish trends from earlier this year, with the precious metal trading to a fresh yearly-high ($1557) in September.
  • However, recent developments in the RSI warns of a near-term correction in gold as the oscillator continues to track the downward trend from June, with recent price action raising the risk for a head-and-shoulders top.
  • In turn, a close below $1467 (50% expansion) may generate a more meaningful run at the former-resistance zone around $1448 (38.2% retracement) to $1457 (100% expansion) as the price of gold extends the series of lower highs and lows from the previous week.
  • Next region of interest comes in around $1414 (78.6% expansion) to $1422 (23.6% expansion) followed by the $1402 (78.6% expansion) area.

For more in-depth analysis, check out the 4Q 2019 Forecast for Gold

Additional Trading Resources

Are you looking to improve your trading approach? Review the ‘Traits of a Successful Trader’ series on how to effectively use leverage along with other best practices that any trader can follow.

Want to know what other currency pairs the DailyFX team is watching? Download and review the Top Trading Opportunities for 2019.

--- Written by David Song, Currency Strategist

Follow me on Twitter at @DavidJSong.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.