News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • The Gold price sell-off has broken below key technical barriers and leaves the outlook for XAU/USD weighted to the downside heading into the close of the month. Get your $XAUUSD technical analysis from @MBForex here:https://t.co/3YLcAFlr5f https://t.co/1uFb9UkDvV
  • Commodities Update: As of 19:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 1.48% Gold: -1.28% Silver: -2.80% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/OvThGydQBs
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 93.65%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 78.02%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/Yq6wLxhblV
  • Vaccine Optimism Sparks 28% Increase in Oil Prices. Get your #crudeoil market update from @JMcQueenFX here:https://t.co/F3AlSkniXk https://t.co/qevY4Gh6o9
  • Indices Update: As of 19:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: FTSE 100: 0.51% US 500: 0.47% Wall Street: 0.26% Germany 30: -0.15% France 40: -0.19% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/wxM2SJQrDE
  • EUR/GBP IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now net-short EUR/GBP for the first time since Nov 20, 2020 15:00 GMT when EUR/GBP traded near 0.89. A contrarian view of crowd sentiment points to EUR/GBP strength. https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/ouaMBSjKk2
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 93.75%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 77.98%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/mXHYu1zN9M
  • Commodities Update: As of 17:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 1.59% Gold: -1.39% Silver: -3.23% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/xchHegk5kh
  • $BTCUSD technical resistance in action. . . #Bitcoin https://t.co/sC21sU5jiX https://t.co/KQdwWtMUNr
  • Forex Update: As of 17:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇪🇺EUR: 0.34% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.33% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.28% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.21% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.20% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.42% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/6VlOG5bYhZ
Gold Prices Remain Vulnerable as 2018 Range Snaps

Gold Prices Remain Vulnerable as 2018 Range Snaps

2018-05-17 19:30:00
David Song, Strategist
Share:

GOLD PRICE TALKING POINTS

Gold prices remain under pressure after snapping the range from earlier this year, and rising U.S. Treasury Yields may continue to sap the appeal of the precious metal as Fed Fund Futures highlight growing expectations for four rate-hikes in 2018.

Image on daily change for major securities

GOLD PRICES REMAIN VULNERABLE AS 2018 RANGE SNAPS, RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX (RSI) APPROACHES OVERSOLD TERRITORY

Image of daily change for gold prices

Recent comments from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) suggest higher borrowing-costs are on the horizon as the central bank reiteratesthat economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant further gradual increases in the federal funds rate.’

Image of Fed Fund Futures

With inflation approaching the 2% target, Fed Fund Futures now reflect budding expectations for four rate-hikes in 2018, and Chairman Jerome Powell and Co. may adopt a more hawkish tone at the next quarterly meeting in June as the board largely achieves its dual mandate for monetary policy. In turn, a further shift in market expectations is likely to keep the precious metal under pressure, and gold prices may exhibit a more bearish behavior over the months ahead if a growing number of Fed officials show a greater willingness to adopt a more aggressive approach in normalizing monetary policy.

Image of US household debt

However, the majority of the FOMC may continue to project a neutral Fed Funds rate of 2.75% to 3.00% as the latest ‘Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit reveals that total household debt reached a new peak in the first quarter of 2018, rising $63 billion to reach $13.21 trillion,’ exceeding the peak during the 2008 financial crisis, and the central bank may increase its effort to curb bets for an extending hiking-cycle as especially as ‘inflation on a 12-month basis is expected to run near the Committee's symmetric 2 percent objective over the medium term.

As a result, gold remain vulnerable ahead of the June 13 interest rate decision, with recent price action raising the risk for a further decline as it carves a series of lower highs & lows.

XAU/USD DAILY CHART

Please add a description for the image.
  • Downside targets remain on the radar for gold as it breaks below the near-term support zone around $1298 (23.6% retracement) to $1302 (50% retracement), with a close below the $1288 (23.6% expansion) to $1291 (50% expansion) region raising the risk for a move back towards $1271 (38.2% expansion) to $1279 (38.2% retracement).
  • Keeping a close eye on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) as it approaches oversold territory, with a break below 30 raising the risk for a further decline in gold prices as the bearish momentum gathers pace.

For more in-depth analysis, check out the Q2 Forecast for Gold

Interested in having a broader discussion on current market themes? Sign up and join DailyFX Currency Analyst David Song LIVE for an opportunity to discuss potential trade setups!

Image of DailyFX economic calendar

Additional Trading Resources

Are you looking to improve your trading approach? Review the ‘Traits of a Successful Trader’ series on how to effectively use leverage along with other best practices that any trader can follow.

Want to know what other currency pairs the DailyFX team is watching? Download and review the Top Trading Opportunities for 2018.

--- Written by David Song, Currency Analyst

Follow me on Twitter at @DavidJSong.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES