News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Commodities Update: As of 02:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 0.38% Oil - US Crude: 0.18% Gold: 0.13% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/Rh2ATYRz6A
  • #Bitcoin Price Forecast: #Coinbase IPO May Fuel BTC's Push to Record Highs - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/04/13/Bitcoin-Price-Forecast-Coinbase-IPO-May-Fuel-BTCs-Push-to-Record-Highs.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Moss&utm_campaign=twr $BTC #CoinbaseIPO https://t.co/3iRPfZsswt
  • Forex Update: As of 02:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇬🇧GBP: -0.03% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.09% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.09% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.17% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.18% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.22% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/89nLQYaP9j
  • Chinese Q1 exports rise 38.7% y/y in Yuan terms, imports up 19.3% y/y and trade surplus at 759.3b Yuan -BBG
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 92.78%, while traders in Germany 30 are at opposite extremes with 75.83%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/qyG3FM0e7r
  • Update on #Cryptocurrencies #BITCOIN +0.95% #BITCOINCASH -1.51% #ETHEREUM +0.76% #RIPPLE +8.21% #LITECOIN +0.83%
  • What suits your style of trading stocks or commodities? Find out what are the differences in these two markets here: https://t.co/BnA07cMV0s https://t.co/Wuzmi2C95V
  • Stocks on Wall Street retreated from record highs while Treasury yields climbed following smooth bond auctions. The Hang Seng and ASX 200 indexes are poised to gain slightly ahead of Chinese trade data. https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/04/13/SP-500-Pauses-Record-Rally-Hang-Seng-and-ASX-200-Drift-Higher.html https://t.co/elDSHDBIgJ
  • Wall Street Futures Update: Dow Jones (+0.03%) S&P 500 (+0.01%) Nasdaq 100 (-0.01%) [delayed] -BBG
  • Forex quotes reflect the price of different currencies at any point in time. Since a trader’s profit or loss is determined by movements in price, it is essential to develop a sound understanding of how to read currency pairs. Learn how to read quotes here: https://t.co/CNtqrKWDBY https://t.co/ns6TUdfkEA
EUR/USD Initiates Bearish Sequence, RSI Flashes Textbook Sell Signal

EUR/USD Initiates Bearish Sequence, RSI Flashes Textbook Sell Signal

David Song, Strategist

FX Talking Points:

- EUR/USD Initiates Bearish Sequence, RSI Falls Back From Overbought Territory.

- USD/CAD Eyes Top of 2018 Range Following Dovish BoC Rate-Hike.

DailyFX TableEUR/USD Table

EUR/USD bounces back from a fresh weekly-low (1.2165) even as Federal Reserve officials strike an upbeat outlook for the U.S. economy, but the pair remains at risk of facing a larger pullback as it initiates a fresh series of lower highs & lows.

Fresh comments from Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester suggest the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will continue to normalize monetary policy over the coming months as the 2018 voting-member sees ‘salient upside risks’ to the economic outlook, and a growing number of central bank officials may prepare U.S. households and businesses for higher borrowing-costs as Chair Janet Yellen and Co. forecast three rate-hikes for this year. With that said, the FOMC may utilize the January 31 interest rate decision to endorse a March rate-hike especially as ‘many participants judged that the proposed changes in business taxes, if enacted, would likely provide a modest boost to capital spending.’

Nevertheless, the broader outlook for EUR/USD remains constructive as both the exchange rate and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) extend the upward trends from late last year, but the bullish momentum appears to be tapering off as the oscillator slips below 70 and flashes a textbook sell-signal. Want to know what other currency pairs the DailyFX team is watching? Download and review the Top Trading Opportunities for 2018.

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

Interested in trading? Review the ‘Traits of a Successful Trader’ series on how to effectively use leverage along with other best practices that any trader can follow.

  • EUR/USD may continue to carve a bearish sequence as the pair remains capped by the 1.2320 (23.6% retracement) to 1.2370 (61.8% expansion) region, with a break/close below 1.2130 (50% retracement) opening up the former-resistance zone around 1.1960 (38.2% retracement).
  • At the same time, a near-term bull-flag formation may start to take shape as long as EUR/USD holds above the 1.2130 (50% retracement) region, with the next topside hurdle coming in around 1.2430 (50% expansion) followed by the 1.2500 (October 2014-low) handle.
USD/CAD Table

The reaction to the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) first interest rate decision for 2018 limits the downside risk for USD/CAD as the central bank delivers a dovish rate-hike, with the topside targets coming back on the radar following the failed attempt to test the monthly-low (1.2355).

Unlike 2017, the BoC appears to be taming bets for a series of rate-hikes ‘as inflation is expected to remain close to 2 per cent over the projection horizon.’ It seems as though Governor Stephen Poloz and Co. will largely endorse a wait-and-see approach at the next meeting on March 7 as ‘uncertainty about the future of NAFTA is weighing increasingly on the outlook,’ and the central bank may continue to strike a less-hawkish tone over the coming months as ‘some continued monetary policy accommodation will likely be needed to keep the economy operating close to potential and inflation on target.

As a result, USD/CAD may stage a larger recovery ahead of the FOMC meeting especially as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) pushes away from oversold territory.

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

Interested in having a broader discussion on current market themes? Sign up and join DailyFX Currency Analyst David Song LIVE for an opportunity to discuss potential trade setups!

  • USD/CAD appears to be on track to test the monthly-high (1.2590) as it snaps the bearish sequence from the previous week, while the 1.2350 (38.2% expansion) region offers support.
  • A move back above the 1.2440 (23.6% expansion) to 1.2510 (78.6% retracement) region opens up the former-support zone around 1.2620 (50% retracement), with the next topside area of interest coming in around 1.2720 (38.2% retracement) to 1.2770 (38.2% expansion).
  • Keep in mind, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) needs to break the bearish formation from late-October to boost the longer-term bullish outlook for the dollar-loonie exchange rate.
DailyFX Economic Calendar

Click Here for the DailyFX Calendar

--- Written by David Song, Currency Analyst

To contact David, e-mail dsong@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter at @DavidJSong.

To be added to David's e-mail distribution list, please follow this link.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES