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Yen Falls as Market Mood Brightens, US Dollar Eyeing Jobs Data

Yen Falls as Market Mood Brightens, US Dollar Eyeing Jobs Data

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

Talking Points:

  • Yen shrugs off status-quo BOJ policy decision to focus on risk appetite
  • North Korea rapprochement hopes, softer US tariff hike buoy sentiment
  • US Dollar may rise as wage growth stokes Fed rate hike speculation

The Japanese Yen underperformed in Asia Pacific trade. A status-quo BOJ monetary policy announcement barely registered, with the anti-risk currency falling as markets celebrated the sudden possibility of an accord between North Korea and the United States.

South Korea’s National Security Council chief Chung Eui-yong said Kim Jong Un is now committed to denuclearization and will not conduct further arms tests. He has also agreed to a summit with US President Donald Trump to iron out the two countries' differences.

Mr Trump also unveiled an increase in steel and aluminum tariffs that proved significantly more benign than many feared. Canada and Mexico were exempted as NAFTA renegotiation continues and other ally nations were given “at least 15 days” to lobby for and strike a deal on a reprieve.

Looking ahead, February’s US employment data is firmly in the spotlight. With a good deal of immediate political risk now off the table, the Fed rate hike path may once again become the central object of speculation, with wage growth statistics likely to take on particular significance.

Last month, average hourly earnings unexpectedly grew at an impressive 2.9 percent on-year, the fastest in almost a decade. That stoked fears of faster tightening than markets had accounted for, sinking risky assets and pushing the US Dollar upward. Survey data hints at more of the same this time around.

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Asia Pacific Trading Session

Yen Falls as Market Mood Brightens, US Dollar Eyeing Jobs Data

European Trading Session

Yen Falls as Market Mood Brightens, US Dollar Eyeing Jobs Data

** All times listed in GMT. See the full economic calendar here.


--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for

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