News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • ...but before you write off H&S patterns because more have fallen apart rather than catalyzed lately, consider the monthly chart of $AUDUSD as well. That 0.8000-0.7925 zone is no joke as its historical midpoint, trendine and other technical points confluence https://t.co/dB6edmmA1d
  • While there are other Dollar pairs getting more attention lately, I think $AUDUSD deserve a spot in the rotation. It's currently working out whether it is going to abide 2021's range as a consolidation reversal risk (H&S pattern)... https://t.co/M7dG0a8Isw
  • Commodities Update: As of 18:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Gold: 0.31% Oil - US Crude: -0.18% Silver: -0.50% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/AS3CtSNbr4
  • Fed's Evans: - Tepid April jobs report was a 'head scratcher' - Welcomes wage growth as sign of a healthy jobs market - Fed has room to overshoot inflation target - 'It will be a while' before US has made enough progress to talk about tapering
  • US 10-Year Treasury yield extending to session highs and steering the Nasdaq to new lows of the day $NDX $QQQ $NQ_F https://t.co/ReXcLVpGy8
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 88.77%, while traders in Wall Street are at opposite extremes with 78.12%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/wI1kMvJkwU
  • The price of gold extends the series of higher highs and lows from the previous week even though the 10-Year US Treasury yield retraces the decline following the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Get your $XAUUSD market update from @DavidJSong here:https://t.co/kyW7ukihdY https://t.co/keRXgNxmyp
  • Fed's Evans: - Very optimistic US will get back to strong job numbers - Still expects unemployment to fall below 5% this year $USD $DXY $TNX
  • Indices Update: As of 18:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Wall Street: 0.67% US 500: -0.15% France 40: -0.18% Germany 30: -0.20% FTSE 100: -0.27% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/f9gTcPN7Ev
  • EUR/USD holding proven support level. Pullback may be over, but hurdles yet to cross. Get your $EURUSD market update from @PaulRobinsonFX here: https://t.co/o6LAHTn29c
US Dollar May Rise as Pound Drops on Fed, BOE Commentary

US Dollar May Rise as Pound Drops on Fed, BOE Commentary

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

Talking Points:

  • Australian, NZ Dollars match divergence in local bond yields
  • Pound may fall if BOE officials echo dovish Governor Carney
  • US Dollar may rise as Fed’s Brainard backs FOMC consensus

The New Zealand Dollar underperformed in overnight trade, falling against all of its G10 FX counterparts. The move lower tracked a drop in local front-end bond yields, hinting that a dovish shift in RBNZ policy expectations was the culprit behind the selloff. Soft card spending numbers seem too flimsy of a catalyst for the move however, making a mystery of the reason for investors’ change of heart.

By contrast, the Australian Dollar and its corresponding bond yields moved higher in tandem. Here too, the day’s offering of domestic economic data didn’t seem to make a strong impression, clouding the reasons for traders’ apparently more supportive view of RBA policy prospects. The Japanese Yen continued to fall as most Asian stock exchanges firmed, sapping demand for the standby anti-risk currency.

From here, a thin offering on the economic data front puts comments from central bank officials in focus. First, the spotlight turns to scheduled speeches from BOE Chief Economist Andy Haldane and Deputy Governor Ben Broadbent. Dovish rhetoric echoing recent remarks from Governor Mark Carney may clash with a month-long surge in priced-in rate hike bets, pushing the British Pound downward.

Next up, Fed Governor Lael Brainard – the most vocally dovish member of the rate-setting FOMC committee – will offer her thoughts. If even she supports the case for another rate hike this year, skeptical financial markets may be moved to shift baseline expectations closer to that of policy officials, boosting the US Dollar. Significant follow-through is unlikely until Fed Chair Yellen speaks however.

Read the latest forecasts to see what will drive the major currencies in the next 3 months!

Asia Session

US Dollar May Rise as Pound Drops on Fed, BOE Commentary

European Session

US Dollar May Rise as Pound Drops on Fed, BOE Commentary

** All times listed in GMT. See the full DailyFX economic calendar here.

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive Ilya's analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Contact and follow Ilya on Twitter: @IlyaSpivak

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES