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  • Gold could suffer further near-term losses due to rising U.S. Treasury yields and a weak technical picture for price action. Get your weekly gold forecast from @DColmanFX here:
  • Gold has been trending lower after failing to clear resistance in the $1835 area earlier this month. Get your $XAUUSD market update from @DColmanFX here:
  • Key break here in the 10-year #Treasury yield as it rises to the highest since late June Took out 1.4230 resistance, and the 100-day SMA Eyes now on the 38.2% Fib extension at 1.4775 Also potential falling resistance from March
  • The move in rates after this week’s FOMC has continued and the 10 year yield has pushed up to a fresh two-month-high. Get your market update from @JStanleyFX here:
  • S&P 500 contending with its proverbial ‘line in the sand’ as bulls and bears battle for directional control. How we close/trade around the 50-day moving average could serve as a noteworthy bellwether for risk trends headed into next week. I remain cautious below ~4,480. $SPX $ES
  • USD/JPY trades to a fresh monthly (110.57) amid the pickup in longer-dated US Treasury yields, and the exchange rate may stage a larger advance over the coming days. Get your market update from @DavidJSong here:
  • US yields continue to climb, with the 10-year Treasury yield trading above 1.45% $ZN $ZB
  • $USDJPY bull thesis appears quite constructive. Technicals show topside breakout above trend resistance following a period of consolidation. Bond yields providing the fundamental catalyst. Eyes on Aug/YTD highs. A broad-based deterioration in market sentiment poses downside risk.
  • WTI posting another session of strong gains, currently flirting with the 74 handle $CL #Oil #OOTT
  • The New Zealand Dollar’s bullish breakout attempt in early-September was rebuffed. Price action at the end of the month is telling a different story. Get your market update from @CVecchioFX here:
GBP Down on Brexit Latest, Asia Stocks May Welcome HKMA Peg Defend

GBP Down on Brexit Latest, Asia Stocks May Welcome HKMA Peg Defend

Daniel Dubrovsky, Strategist

Asia Pacific Market Open Talking Points

  • British Pound weakened on Brexit worries, USD paused gains
  • S&P 500 pared losses on mixed US jobs report as NZD gained
  • Asia stocks may rise after HKMA peg defend, eyeing Powell

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Key FX Developments Friday

The British Pound was one of the worst-performing majors on Friday, depreciating as Brexit worries increased. Chief EU negotiator Michel Barnier announced a deal to allow the Irish Backstop to just apply to Northern Ireland instead of the entire United Kingdom. But this is not to UK Prime Minister Theresa May’s liking. Her divorce deal heads to Parliament again for one last round of voting this week.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar paused its ascent as it slowly sunk with local front-end government bond yields throughout the session. Losses were amplified following a mixed US jobs report. While the nation unexpectedly added the least amount of positions since 2017, wage growth picked up as the unemployment rate ticked lower.

Initial reaction in the markets was risk aversion, sending the S&P 500 lower. But the US benchmark stock index pared losses towards the end of the session. Due to a gap to the downside, it extended its losing streak to four days. Thanks to weakness in the Greenback and the last-minute recovery in stocks, the pro-risk Australian and New Zealand Dollars outperformed.

Monday’s Asia Pacific Trading Session

Asia Pacific benchmark stock indexes could be in for a dose of optimism following recent losses. For one thing, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority stepped in to defend their peg for the first time since back in August 2018. The HKMA bought about HK$1.5b to defend their currency after markets closed for the weekend. This comes after the recent bout of USD gains (see chart below). In the past, HKMA interventionthat upheld HKD boosted sentiment.

Markets are also eyeing an interview from Fed Chair Jerome Powell as the new week begins. While he may offer little in terms of guidance on monetary policy that isn’t already known, views on economic growth or the global environment have a greater chance of stoking volatility. If the Nikkei 225 does pause its decline and aim higher, the anti-risk Japanese Yen may gain.

USD/HKD Daily Chart

GBP Down on Brexit Latest, Asia Stocks May Welcome HKMA Peg Defend

Chart Created in TradingView

US Trading Session Economic Events

GBP Down on Brexit Latest, Asia Stocks May Welcome HKMA Peg Defend

Asia Pacific Trading Session Economic Events

GBP Down on Brexit Latest, Asia Stocks May Welcome HKMA Peg Defend

** All times listed in GMT. See the full economic calendar here

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--- Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Junior Currency Analyst for

To contact Daniel, use the comments section below or @ddubrovskyFX on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.