Ilya Spivak

Ilya Spivak

Sr. Currency Strategist

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Expertise:
Fundamental analysis, economic and market themes.
Ilya Spivak is a Currency Strategist for DailyFX, where he applies a top-down, global macro approach to longer-term investing in the G10 currencies. Ilya has headlined seminars on FX trading around the world and his research is regularly cited in leading publications including the Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, CNN Money and Reuters. He holds degrees in Economics and International Relations from the University of California.

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Euro at Risk as the ECB Sets Up for a Dovish Policy Trajectory

The Euro may come under pressure as the ECB Forum drafts a dovish policy path while EU bigwigs pick its next President with an eye on that vision’s execution.

Crude Oil Prices May Fall as Soft US Data Compounds Risk Aversion

Crude oil prices rose amid worries about an escalating conflict between the US and Iran, but soggy economic data might weigh as global slowdown fears cool demand bets.

AUDUSD Chart Analysis: Aussie Dollar Resumes Downtrend, Eyes 0.67

The Australian Dollar looks to have resumed the downtrend against its US counterpart, with chart positioning warning of a decline to test the 0.67 figure ahead.

EURUSD Chart Analysis: Has Euro Trend Turned Higher? Maybe Not.

The Euro appears to have secured a critical topside breakout, but near-term chart positioning warns against committing to bullish follow-through.

Gold Prices Miss Out as Shaky Markets Find Haven in the US Dollar

Gold prices were unable to capitalize as jittery financial markets rediscovered the haven appeal of the US Dollar. More of the same looks likely ahead.

Crude Oil Prices at Risk on US CPI and EIA Inventory Data

Crude oil prices may fall as US CPI data speaks to slowing economic growth while EIA inventory data points to oversupply even as output is reduced.

Gold Price Chart Hints Reversal Lower May Be Brewing Ahead

Gold price chart positioning hints that the metal might be preparing to turn lower after hitting a four-month high. US PPI inflation data is on tap.

Weekly Technical Forecast: Dow and Gold Build Pressure to Clear Important Highs as EURUSD Reverses

There is as much potential built into the upcoming week than there was progress earned over this previous period. The Dow and S&P 500 extended a drive that finally drew in more risk assets and has...

Crude Oil Prices Up, Gold Down as Markets Cheer US-Mexico Detente

Crude oil prices rose with stocks while gold prices fell as the US Dollar rose with bond yields after the White House shelved a plan to impose tariffs on Mexico.

Canadian Dollar Gaps Up, Yen Drops as US Shelves Mexico Tariffs

The Canadian Dollar gapped higher while the anti-risk Yen fell as markets reacted to reports that the US will shelve planned tariffs on imports from Mexico.

Weekly Technical Forecast: Dow and Gold Build Pressure to Clear Important Highs as EURUSD Reverses

There is as much potential built into the upcoming week than there was progress earned over this previous period. The Dow and S&P 500 extended a drive that finally drew in more risk assets and has...

Australian Dollar Recovery May Have Run Out of Steam

The Australian Dollar mounted a spirited recovery over the past two weeks but the dominant downtrend against its US counterpart may be ready to resume.

Will Gold Prices Rise or Fall if US Jobs Data Disappoints?

Its tempting to say gold prices will rise if US jobs data disappoints, echoing downbeat news flow over recent months. The markets may have other ideas however.

NZDUSD Chart Analysis: Downtrend Ready to Resume After Bounce?

The New Zealand Dollar mounted a spirited recovery over the past week but the move may have run out steam, opening the door for resumption of the broader downtrend.

Crude Oil Prices Eyeing ECB, Xi Comments on US-China Trade War

Crude oil prices are eyeing an ECB rate decision and comments on the US-China trade war from President Xi Jinping after sinking to a five-month low.

EURUSD Chart Analysis: All Eyes on 1.13 as ECB Rate Call Looms

The Euro is eyeing the ECB rate decision with interest as prices challenge pivotal resistance near the 1.13 figure against the US Dollar.

Gold Price Gains May Be Fleeting as US Dollar Reclaims Haven Bid

Explosive gold price gains may be fleeting as market turmoil continues even as traders run out of room to price in a more dovish Fed, allowing the US Dollar to rebound.

Crude Oil Prices May Fall as Fed’s Powell Cools Rate Cut Bets

Crude oil prices may fall further after hitting a four-month low as Fed Chair Powell talks down imminent rate cut speculation, souring investors’ mood market-wide.

AUDUSD Chart Analysis: Aussie Rebound at Resistance, RBA Eyed

An Australian Dollar rebound against its US counterpart as run into key chart resistance ahead of the RBA monetary policy announcement. What now?

Weekly Trading Forecast: How Will Risk Trends and Dollar Fare as Trade Wars Escalate?

Disparate fundamental themes are starting to coalesce into a clear sense of general risk aversion.


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