Ilya Spivak

Ilya Spivak

Sr. Currency Strategist

Expertise:
Fundamental analysis, economic and market themes
Ilya Spivak is a Currency Strategist for DailyFX, where he applies a top-down, global macro approach to longer-term investing in the G10 currencies. Ilya has headlined seminars on FX trading around the world and his research is regularly cited in leading publications including the Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, CNN Money and Reuters. He holds degrees in Economics and International Relations from the University of California.

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Yen May Rise as US Autos Tariff Threat Revives Trade War Jitters

The Japanese Yen may rise as fears of a tariff hike on US auto imports sours sentiment across financial markets, triggering the unwinding of carry trades.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Aussie Trend Bias Favors Weakness

The Australian Dollar continues to struggle for near-term direction near the 0.74 figure against its US counterpart but the dominant trend remains firmly bearish.

British Pound May Rebound on UK Inflation Uptick

The British Pound may rebound after yesterday’s Brexit-related losses as UK CPI uptick puts August BOE rate hike back into the spotlight.

Gold Prices May Fall Further After Hitting One-Year Low

Gold prices may continue to decline after sinking to a one-year low as hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve drives the US Dollar upward.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Triangle Hints at Further Euro Losses

The Euro is consolidating below the 1.18 figure against the US Dollar but chart positioning looks to favor a downward directional bias.

US Dollar May Rise on Powell Testimony, NZ Dollar Surges

The US Dollar may rise as Fed Chair Powell remains confident on rate hike prospects despite escalating trade war fears. The New Zealand Dollar surged in Asia Pacific trade.

Third Quarter Forecasts for Dollar, Euro, Oil, Equities and More

Has the emergence of trade wars fundamentally altered the course for the Dollar and global equities? Have Brexit fears been fully absorbed into the Pound? Can oil extend its rally to three-and-a-half...

Third Quarter Forecasts for Dollar, Euro, Oil, Equities and More

Has the emergence of trade wars fundamentally altered the course for the Dollar and global equities? Have Brexit fears been fully absorbed into the Pound? Can oil extend its rally to three-and-a-half...

US China Trade War & a Brief History of Trade Wars – 1900 until Present

In this report, we look at some of the key events that have promoted and stymying global trade from 1900 to the latest US China Trade War.

Weekly Trading Forecast: A New Front on Trade Wars Will Test Risk Trends, Dollar

Risk assets have broadly notched a week of retreat as trade wars have spread into the developed world economy. Themes are of greater consequence than specific data in the week ahead, but that poses m...

US Dollar Rally May Regain Momentum Amid Trade War Worries

The US Dollar may regain upward momentum as worries about escalating trade wars spur haven-seeking capital flows in the week ahead.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Down Trend Intact as Selloff Pauses

The Australian Dollar is vulnerable to deeper losses against its US counterpart after breaking counter-trend support guiding the upswing early May.

Crude Oil Prices May Fall Even If OPEC+ Output Boost Talks Fail

Crude oil prices may fall even if OPEC+ officials fail to reach a deal on a coordinated output boost amid worries about a free-for-all to follow.

Euro and US Dollar May Take Divergent Paths on PMI Data

The Euro may turn lower while the US Dollar gains as PMI data underscores the deepening divergence between ECB and Fed monetary policy.

British Pound May Rise as the BOE Revives 2018 Rate Hike Bets

The British Pound may rise as the recent pickup in UK economic activity inspires a somewhat more assertive tone from the Bank of England.

Gold Prices Sink to Chart Support, Crude Oil Focused on OPEC

Gold prices sank to chart support after a hawkish shift in Fed rate bets translated into a fourth day of losses. Crude oil prices are singularly focused on OPEC.

New Zealand Dollar Eyes US-China Trade War After In-Line GDP Data

The New Zealand Dollar is looking to the evolution of the US-China trade war for direction after in-line first quarter GDP data passed without incident.

US Dollar May Rise ECB Forum Accents Fed, G10 Policy Divergence

The US Dollar may rise as comments from the ECB Forum bolster the sense that a hawkish Fed is increasingly diverging from otherwise dovish G10 central banks.

Crude Oil Prices Eye OPEC Seminar for Output Cap Strategy Preview

Crude oil prices are looking to soundbites from the OPEC International Seminar for a preview of the upcoming top producers’ strategy session in Vienna.

Trump Trade War Boosts Yen and Franc, ECB Forum Gets Underway

The anti-risk Yen and Swiss Franc soared as an escalating Sino-US trade war rattled financial markets. More of the same looks likely ahead.


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