Ilya Spivak

Ilya Spivak

Sr. Currency Strategist

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Fundamental analysis, economic and market themes.
Ilya Spivak is a Currency Strategist for DailyFX, where he applies a top-down, global macro approach to longer-term investing in the G10 currencies. Ilya has headlined seminars on FX trading around the world and his research is regularly cited in leading publications including the Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, CNN Money and Reuters. He holds degrees in Economics and International Relations from the University of California.



No-Deal Brexit Fears May Renew Pound Drop, Trigger Risk Aversion

The British Pound may succumb to renewed selling pressure while sentiment sours across financial markets amid worries about a “no-deal” Brexit ahead.

Gold Prices Stuck Amid Brexit Turmoil as US Dollar, Yields Clash

Gold prices struggled for direction amid Brexit-driven turmoil as the US Dollar and bond yields diverged. Crude oil prices may drop anew in risk-off trade.

Yen, US Dollar May Rise as Brexit Turmoil Sours Market Mood

The anti-risk Yen and US Dollar may rise while the British Pound drops as UK Prime Minister May receives a cool reception for her Brexit deal plan in Parliament.

Crude Oil Price Selloff May Resume on EIA Inventory Data

Crude oil prices paused to digest losses after the longest losing streak on record. EIA inventory flow data may revive selling pressure.

Pound, Euro May Overlook UK CPI and EZ GDP with Politics in Focus

The British Pound and the Euro may overlook UK CPI and Eurozone GDP data with a fragile Brexit deal as well as political turmoil in Italy and Sweden in focus.

Gold Prices May Fall on US CPI Uptick, Hawkish Powell Comments

Gold prices may decline as US inflation data and hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell boost rate hike bets and send the US Dollar upward.

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: NZ Dollar Rally Ready to Resume?

The New Zealand Dollar may struggle to find upside follow-through against its US namesake despite seemingly bullish near-term technical positioning.

Yen Down as US, China Trade Deal Hopes Buoy Market Mood

The anti-risk Japanese Yen fell as hopes for a breakthrough in trade relations between the US and Chine lifted financial markets’ spirits.

Crude Oil Prices May Rise with Stocks on US, China Trade Deal Hopes

Crude oil prices may rise amid a broad-based improvement in the markets’ mood amid hopes for de-escalation of the trade war between the US and China.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Sellers Take Aim Below 1.12 Figure

The Euro looks likely to suffer deeper losses after breaching the 1.13 figure and dropping to the lowest level in over 16 months against the US Dollar.

Weekly Fundamental Forecast: As Political and Rate Decision Risks Ebb, Will Sentiment and Trade Wars Take Over?

The US mid-term elections and FOMC rate decision from this past week were noteworthy distractions for the markets, but they were not ultimately true course settings for the markets. The docket thins ...

Euro, Pound Suffer as Markets Eye Busy Week for European Politics

The Euro and the British Pound fell as Brexit progress stalled while Italy braced for a clash with EU authorities and Sweden inched closer to a minority government.

Gold Prices May Fall Further as US Dollar Recovery Continues

Gold prices may continue to drop as a rebound in risk appetite buoys yields and stokes Fed rate hike speculation, boosting the US Dollar.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Down Trend Looks Ready to Resume

The Australian Dollar looks to be resuming the long-term downward trend against it US counterpart following a corrective upswing.

US Dollar Rebound May Continue on CPI, European Politics

The US Dollar may continue to push higher after last week’s rebound as CPI data boosts Fed rate hike bets while shaky European politics drive haven demand.

Crude Oil Prices Shrug Off OPEC Chatter, Drop on Fed Outlook

Crude oil prices shrugged off chatter about a possible OPEC output cut in 2019, dropping yet again as a hawkish shift in Fed policy bets drove the US Dollar higher.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Euro Down Trend Back in Play

The Euro looks to be resuming its downtrend against the US Dollar after prices broke below support guiding the currency’s recent recovery.

Gold, Crude Oil Prices May Accelerate Lower on Upbeat FOMC

Gold and crude oil prices may accelerate downward as an upbeat statement from the Federal Reserve boosts rate hike speculation and sends the US Dollar higher.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Upswing Corrective Within Down Trend

The Australian Dollar has mounted a spirited recovery against its US counterpart but gains appear to be corrective within a broader downtrend.

US Dollar May Turn Higher as Markets Digest Midterms Outcome

The US Dollar may turn higher after a bit of knee-jerk weakness as markets digest midterm election results that increase scope for a bipartisan infrastructure spending boost.