Yen May Fall As Sentiment Shifts

USDJPY: Retail trader data shows 49.9% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.0 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 1.7% lower than yesterday and 2.4% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 8.2% lower than yesterday and 12.1% lower from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests USDJPY prices may continue to rise. Yet traders are less net-short than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current USDJPY price trend may soon reverse lower despite the fact traders remain net-short.

--- Written by Dylan Jusino, DailyFX Research