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USD/JPY Rally Hits Pause, Positioning Warns of Mixed Trading

USD/JPY Rally Hits Pause, Positioning Warns of Mixed Trading

Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Strategist
USD/JPY Rally Hits Pause, Positioning Warns of Mixed Trading

Why and how do we use IG Client Sentiment in trading? See our guide and real-time data.

USDJPY: Retail trader data shows 54.5% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.2 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-long since Jul 18 when USDJPY traded near 113.901; price has moved 1.5% lower since then. The number of traders net-long is 2.0% higher than yesterday and 10.2% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 2.0% lower than yesterday and 2.7% higher from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests USDJPY prices may continue to fall. Positioning is more net-long than yesterday but less net-long from last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed USDJPY trading bias.

--- Written by Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Currency Strategist

To contact Christopher Vecchio, e-mail cvecchio@dailyfx.com

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