EURUSD: Retail trader data shows 35.7% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.8 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Apr 18 when EURUSD traded near 1.06246; price has moved 17.2% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 8.7% lower than yesterday and 24.9% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 2.1% lower than yesterday and 2.7% lower from last week.
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests EURUSD prices may continue to rise. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger EURUSD-bullish contrarian trading bias.
--- Written by Dylan Jusino, DailyFX Research