News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • Heads Up:💶 ECB President Lagarde Speech due at 14:00 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-04-14
  • Heads Up:🇧🇷 Business Confidence (APR) due at 14:00 GMT (15min) Previous: 54.4 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-04-14
  • JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, and Wells Fargo all reported Q1 EPS strongly above the consensus estimates. Get your market update from @PeterHanksFX here:https://t.co/zsy0vgfpGt https://t.co/sw3cMFZFd7
  • - Makes sense for 10yr yields to drift up this year, moves are not alarming - Doesn't want the Fed to get in the way of yields drifting higher
  • Goldman CEO says Goldman will play a role in crypto, blockchain innovation
  • - Will take the US a while to get back to full employment - Sees Fed rate liftoff "sooner than median" - Don't want to react too soon but don't want to be late either
  • it's a big day for crypto $BTCUSD breakout from bull flag, 60k resistance in a very big way #Bitcoin https://t.co/cM9OE2FT4u https://t.co/Py54IoGhbN
  • $EURUSD reversal has run really clean so far but now testing a big spot of resistance 1965-2000. also a 50% marker in that zone from the recent sell-off move #Euro https://t.co/vmOyWDtD83 https://t.co/fYzLzBaNRW
  • Indices Update: As of 13:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: France 40: 0.24% FTSE 100: 0.22% Wall Street: 0.00% US 500: -0.01% Germany 30: -0.15% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/3PDYe6BJq6
  • Fed's Kaplan: - 2021 US GDP growth will be in the range of 6.5% - Sees higher prices in 2021, unclear if this will continue into 2022 #Fed $USD
British Pound (GBP) Latest: GBP/USD Weak Ahead of Friday's GDP Data

British Pound (GBP) Latest: GBP/USD Weak Ahead of Friday's GDP Data

Martin Essex, MSTA, Analyst

GBP price, news and analysis:

  • GBP/USD has lost some of its recent gains ahead of UK GDP data due Friday that will show a dramatic fall because of the coronavirus pandemic.
  • As London stock prices fall and two-year Gilt yields drop to a record low, the near-term outlook for GBP/USD is poor on “risk off” sentiment after gloomy predictions by the US Federal Reserve.
  • Technically, the pair has dropped back below resistance at the 200-day moving average but is no longer overbought.

GBP/USD sliding lower

GBP/USD is weak ahead of UK GDP data due at 0700 local time Friday that are expected to show a dramatic contraction in the economy due to coronavirus lockdowns. Economists polled by the Reuters news agency are predicting, on average, a decline in GDP in April of 10% three-months/three-months. However, that hides an enormous range of between the most optimistic forecast of -2.4% and the most pessimistic of -35%.

Where the decline falls between those two extremes will likely determine the next near-term move in GBP/USD. However, the background is poor after downbeat projections Wednesday from the US Federal Reserve and concerns about a possible second wave of Covid-19 infections.

These factors have knocked back stock prices, with the FTSE-100 index of leading London-listed stocks down by more than 2% in early trading Thursday and the yield on the two-year UK government bond falling to a record low of minus 0.102% amidst a widespread move away from assets seen as inherently risky.

GBP/USD Price Chart, Four-Hour Timeframe (May 14 – June 11, 2020)

Latest GBP/USD price chart.

Chart by IG (You can click on it for a larger image)

GBP/USD Mixed
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily -3% 1% -1%
Weekly 16% -15% 2%
What does it mean for price action?
Get My Guide

Meanwhile, from a technical perspective, GBP/USD has dropped back below the 200-day moving average that has acted as resistance for the past week. In the process, that has unwound an overbought reading from the relative strength index, which has fallen to just above 66 – under the 70 level that implies an overbought asset.

You can find a beginner’s guide to the basics of technical analysis, and how it can be used to trade forex, here.

Trading Forex News: The Strategy
Trading Forex News: The Strategy
Recommended by Martin Essex, MSTA
Trading Forex News: The Strategy
Get My Guide

We look at currencies regularly in the DailyFX Trading Global Markets Decoded podcasts that you can find here on Apple or wherever you go for your podcasts

--- Written by Martin Essex, Analyst and Editor

Feel free to contact me via the comments section below

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES