MARKET DEVELOPMENT – USD Muted, US-China Trade Truce Likely, OPEC to Rollover Production Cuts
DailyFX 2019 FX Trading Forecasts
USD: Relative calm across FX markets with major G10 pairs trading in subdued fashion ahead of the G20 summit. Majority of the focus at the upcoming summit will lie on the outcome of President Trump and Xi’s trade discussion, in which a trade truce/ceasefire with a resumption of talks continues to be the base case scenario. However, questions have been raised as to whether this scenario could be reached after the WSJ reported that Chinese demands for a trade deal, included lifting Huawei ban and all punitive tariffs on China.
EUR: 200DMA support (1.1344) continues to underpin the Euro, however, 1.14 remains the stumbling block for the currency. German inflation figures surprised to the upside with the headline figure rising 1.6% vs. Exp. 1.4% (full analysis), however, price action remains tentative nonetheless.
Crude Oil / Gold: OPEC look set to rollover oil production cuts for the remainder of 2019 with both Iraq and Kuwait showing their support for the deal. However, eyes will be whether OPEC support ideas of deepening production cuts, which could provide a floor for oil prices in the near term. Elsewhere, gold prices have extended its pullback from the 6yr peak with the precious metal testing support at $1400.
Source: DailyFX, Thomson Reuters
How to use IG Client Sentiment to Improve Your Trading
WHAT’S DRIVING MARKETS TODAY
- “EU-Swiss Exchange Battle Continues: London Prepares to Delist Swiss Shares” by Daniela Sabin Hathorn , Junior Analyst
- “Canadian Dollar Technical Analysis Overview: USDCAD, CADJPY” by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst
- “Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 Technical Analysis” by Paul Robinson, Currency Strategist
- “Using FX To Effectively Trade Global Market Themes at IG” by Tyler Yell, CMT , Forex Trading Instructor
--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst
To contact Justin, email him at Justin.mcqueen@ig.com
Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX
