We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Mixed
Gold
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Bitcoin
Bearish
More View more
Notice

DailyFX PLUS Content Now Available Freely to all DailyFX Users

Real Time News
  • #Oil started this week with a bang after a number a disruption of production in Saudi Arabia following this weekend’s drone attacks.. Get your crude oil #technicalanalysis from @JStanleyFX here: https://t.co/uAw5kJTrfO #OOTT https://t.co/JGydFfVPNK
  • Commodities Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 1.07% Silver: 0.51% Gold: 0.39% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/97pkfcSFUv
  • Forex Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇨🇭CHF: 0.43% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.40% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.26% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.04% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.32% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.50% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/3SiM0s7ywI
  • Canadian #Dollar Price Chart: $USDCAD Range, #Loonie Breakout Potential - Weekly - https://t.co/yRqgctahvk https://t.co/fWbboNCEHs
  • Join @JStanleyFX 's weekly #webinar on trading price action at 1:00 PM ET/5:00 PM GMT. Register here: https://t.co/hSLfMqTx3G https://t.co/01pPGTCkyx
  • Update on #Cryptocurrencies #BITCOIN -3.06% #BITCOINCASH -4.12% #ETHEREUM +0.07% #RIPPLE -5.65% #LITECOIN -4.71%
  • Indices Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: US 500: 0.41% Wall Street: 0.34% Germany 30: 0.07% France 40: 0.06% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/emW4e8iBEr
  • #Gold prices have bounced of the key $1480-85 support zone to make another test of the psychological $1500 level. Get your $gld technical analysis from @JMcQueenFX here: https://t.co/uAw5kJTrfO https://t.co/kj2qLweECk
  • #Gold prices have bounced of the key $1480-85 support zone to make another test of the psychological $1500 level. Get your $gld technical analysis from @JMcQueenFX here: https://t.co/uAw5kJTrfO https://t.co/RppxKFDkYt
  • US Eight-Week Bills Draw 1.950% Primary Dealers Awarded: 67.6% Indirect Bidders Awarded: 29.9% Direct Bidders Awarded: 2.5% B/C Ratio: 2.59 $TNX
GBPUSD Breaks Support, AUDUSD Drops, RBA Rate Cut Coming - US Market Open

GBPUSD Breaks Support, AUDUSD Drops, RBA Rate Cut Coming - US Market Open

2019-05-16 13:00:00
Justin McQueen, Analyst
Share:

MARKET DEVELOPMENT – GBPUSD Drops, AUD Outlook Weakens, Oil Soars

DailyFX Q2 2019 FX Trading Forecasts

GBP: GBPUSD is once again on the backfoot with the pairing posting a fresh 3-month low as Theresa May meets the 1922 Committee over her departure date (full story). The pair is testing support at 1.2800 in which a break below could open up a move towards 1.2770. Theresa May has been pressured to announce her departure date, however, failure to do so could force the 1922 committee to lay a departure date for the Prime Minister. Political uncertainty continues to keep gains in the Pound limit.

AUD: The Australian Dollar softened on the back of the latest jobs report, in which the unemployment rate ticked up for the second consecutive month (rising to 5.2% from 5.0%). Consequently, this has fuelled expectations that the RBA will cut rates at the upcoming meeting (60% priced in for a cut), given that the uptick in the unemployment rate has also coincided with the sizeable drop in inflation. Eyes on RBA Governor Lowe next week.

“Members also discussed the scenario where inflation did not move any higher and unemployment trended up, noting that a decrease in the cash rate would likely be appropriate in these circumstances”(RBA April meeting minutes)

Oil: Despite the increased trade war tensions, oil prices remain dictated by the rising geopolitical premium attached to the rift between Iran and the US. Brent crude futures are up over 3% since President Trump escalated trade war tensions, suggesting that traders are concerned over potential supply disruptions stemming from the middle east, particularly after Saudi oil tankers had been attacked. The latest uptick in oil prices followed reports that the Saudi Prince had accused Iran of ordering Houthi attacks on Saudi Aramco facilities.

GBPUSD Breaks Support, AUDUSD Drops, RBA Rate Cut Coming - US Market Open

DailyFX Economic Calendar: – North American Releases

GBPUSD Breaks Support, AUDUSD Drops, RBA Rate Cut Coming - US Market Open

IG Client Sentiment

GBPUSD Breaks Support, AUDUSD Drops, RBA Rate Cut Coming - US Market Open

How to use IG Client Sentiment to Improve Your Trading

WHAT’S DRIVING MARKETS TODAY

  1. EURUSD Price: Negative Bias as Italy-German Yield Spread Widens” by Nick Cawley, Market Analyst
  2. Brexit Latest: PM May to Offer Departure Date or Face No Confidence Vote” by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst
  3. S&P 500 and Dow Jones Charts: Gunning for Gap-fills” by Paul Robinson, Currency Strategist
  4. Using FX To Effectively Trade Global Market Themes at IG” by Tyler Yell, CMT , Forex Trading Instructor

--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst

To contact Justin, email him at Justin.mcqueen@ig.com

Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX

provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.