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  • No matter where you look, the Euro is under a great deal of technical pressure: versus the commodity currencies (EUR/AUD, EUR/CAD, EUR/NZD) or even against the Nordic currencies (EUR/NOK, EUR/SEK). Get your market update from @CVecchioFX here: https://t.co/UJvFdVbrk6 https://t.co/lJGEuR5TIE
  • RT @FxWestwater: $AUDUSD Aims to Retake Key Level as Markets Digest US Covid Stimulus News Link: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/asia_am_briefing/2021/03/08/AUDUSD-Aims-to-Retake-Key-Level-as-Markets-Digest-US-Covid-Stimulus-News.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Westwater&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/eYwb…
  • This seems likely to reflect the near-certain passing of the US$1.9 trillion stimulus top-up in the US https://t.co/lmIuNpLmV6
  • Risk-on tone seemingly prevailing in early Asia-Pacific trade. US stock index futures up with commodity currencies (AUD, CAD, NZD, NOK), crude oil, gold. Anti-risk USD, JPY and CHF down. https://t.co/nJgxWHCGCa
  • Did you know a Doji candlestick signals market indecision and the potential for a change in direction. What are the top five types of Doji candlesticks? Find out https://t.co/c51s3IBcEu https://t.co/brgbPlNTIl
  • WTI crude oil prices surpassed the 200% Fibonacci extension level of US$ 66.65 after Saudi Arabia said a storage tank in the Ras Tanura export terminal was attached by a drone on Sunday. Brent price breached US$ 70 mark for the first time since January 2020. https://t.co/hB39eHZLVw
  • Crude oil will likely extend its bull run after one of the most protected oil facilities in the world came under attack on Sunday - BBG
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  • Entry orders are a valuable tool in forex trading. Traders can strategize to come up with a great trading plan, but if they can’t execute that plan effectively, all their hard work might as well be thrown out. Learn how to place entry orders here: https://t.co/1mnOXUuBpt https://t.co/6BhlgjWVYw
  • We are going to start the new trading week with a few critical technical breaks like the $QQQ's (NDX) H&S neckline break on volume and EURUSD's clearance below 1.1950. Are these the makings of trends? My take: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2021/03/06/EURUSD-and-Nasdaq-100-to-Start-Week-with-Multi-Month-Breakdown.html https://t.co/iR5w7iDkDU
GBPUSD Recovers, AUDUSD Dips, EURUSD Rise Capped - US Market Open

GBPUSD Recovers, AUDUSD Dips, EURUSD Rise Capped - US Market Open

Justin McQueen, Analyst

MARKET DEVELOPMENT – GBPUSD Recovers, AUDUSD Dips, EURUSD Rise Capped

GBP: After yet another large defeat for Theresa May’s deal, GBPUSD is notably firmer this morning. With tonight’s No-Deal Brexit vote likely to be rejected, and an extension to Article 50 likely to be favoured in tomorrow’s vote. However, while an extension to Article 50 may provide a lift to the Pound, gains are likely to be muted given that clarity of Brexit will continue to persist with a range of possibilities existing (General election, Second referendum, PM resignation etc). While GBP implied volatility has dropped ahead of tonight’s vote, headline risk remains with overnight vols implying a move of 106pips.

AUD: Domestic challenges within Australia have once again dented the Aussie as consumer sentiment dropped 4.8%, marking the lowest level since September 2015. Alongside this, Australian 10yr bond yields are now yielding less than 2%, consequently, upside in the Aussie is limited. However, the most important data for the near-term direction for the AUD will be released next, which comes in the form of the Aussie labour report, with close attention on the unemployment rate. The labour market remains one of the bright sparks in the economy, although a sizeable uptick in the unemployment rate could lead to fresh dovish signals from the RBA.

EUR: The Euro has been held within a tight 30pip range with 1.1300 capping for now. Reminder, $2.1bln worth of vanilla options are situated at 1.1300-1.1310. As such, while EURUSD has made an encouraging recovery from sub 1.1200 to 1.1300 since the ECB’s monetary policy decision, bund yields have failed to edge higher to confirm this bounce.

CHART OF THE DAY: AU 10YR SUB 2%

GBPUSD Recovers, AUDUSD Dips, EURUSD Rise Capped - US Market Open

Source: Thomson Reuters

GBPUSD Recovers, AUDUSD Dips, EURUSD Rise Capped - US Market Open

Source: Thomson Reuters, DailyFX

DailyFX Economic Calendar: – North American Releases

GBPUSD Recovers, AUDUSD Dips, EURUSD Rise Capped - US Market Open

IG Client Sentiment

GBPUSD Recovers, AUDUSD Dips, EURUSD Rise Capped - US Market Open

How to use IG Client Sentiment to Improve Your Trading

WHAT’S DRIVING MARKETS TODAY

  1. FTSE 100, S&P 500 Outlook: No-Deal Brexit Vote Likely Rejected” by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst
  2. Crude Oil Price - Headwinds Persist Ahead of Multi-Month High” by Nick Cawley, Market Analyst
  3. Trading Outlook for S&P 500, DAX, Gold Price, Crude Oil & More” by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst
  4. GBPUSD Price: Brexit Deadline Extension Could be Good for Sterling” by Martin Essex, MSTA , Analyst and Editor
  5. Using FX To Effectively Trade Global Market Themes at IG” by Tyler Yell, CMT , Forex Trading Instructor

--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst

To contact Justin, email him at Justin.mcqueen@ig.com

Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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