Never miss a story from David Cottle

Subscribe to receive daily updates on publications
Please enter valid First Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid Last Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid email
Please fill out this field.
Please select a country

I’d like to receive information from DailyFX and IG about trading opportunities and their products and services via email.

Please fill out this field.

Your Forecast Is Headed to Your Inbox

But don't just read our analysis - put it to the rest. Your forecast comes with a free demo account from our provider, IG, so you can try out trading with zero risk.

Your demo is preloaded with £10,000 virtual funds, which you can use to trade over 10,000 live global markets.

We'll email you login details shortly.

Learn More about Your Demo

You are subscribed to David Cottle

You can manage your subscriptions by following the link in the footer of each email you will receive

An error occurred submitting your form.
Please try again later.

Japanese Yen, Pakistan, India, Kashmir - Talking Points:

  • Risk assets slipped a little as news of increased military action in Kashmir filtered out
  • Pakistan claims to have shot down two Indian jet fighters and to have arrested a pilot
  • The Japanese Yen assumed its customary haven role

Join DailyFX analysts for live coverage of all major market-moving data at the DailyFX Webinars.

The Japanese Yen gained late in Wednesday’s Asia session, with US stock futures lower as tensions between India and Pakistan in the disputed territory usually known as Kashmir reportedly spilled over again into military action.

News agencies report that Pakistan has shot down two Indian Air Force jets and has arrested one of the pilots. Pakistan reports that it struck the targets from their own airspace, on the Pakistani side of the Line Of Control (LOC) which splits the territory between the two countries.

Indian aircraft struck what its government said were terrorist encampments on Tuesday, in what it also said were retaliatory attacks for a terrorist strike in Pulwana, on the Indian side of the LOC on February 14. It left dozens of Indian police personnel dead. New Delhi accused Islamabad of harboring the Jaish-e-Mohammed miltiant group which claimed responsibility.

The Indian bombing runs were the first time since 1971 that its jets have ventured into Pakistani airspace. There have also been reports of artillery exchanges between the two countries at the LOC.

United Nations Security Council members and others have urged restraint but clearly a military exchange between two antagonistic nuclear powers represents a vast potential geopolitical and economic risk.

Market reaction so far has been modest but clear. The haven Yen caught a bid, US stock futures headed South and some shine was taken off an Asia Pacific equity trading session which had been quite bullish all around.

US Dollar vs Japanese Yen chart - 5 minute

US President Donald Trump will meet North Korean leader in Hanoi later, but this escalation threatens to overshadow those talks. Markets will remain vulnerable to headlines from India and Pakistan

Resources for Traders

Whether you’re new to trading or an old hand DailyFX has plenty of resources to help you. There’s our trading sentiment indicator which shows you live how IG clients are positioned right now. We also hold educational and analytical webinars and offer trading guides, with one specifically aimed at those new to foreign exchange markets. There’s also a Bitcoin guide. Be sure to make the most of them all. They were written by our seasoned trading experts and they’re all free.

--- Written by David Cottle, DailyFX Research

Follow David on Twitter @DavidCottleFX or use the Comments section below to get in touch!