News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • The continuity seen across these volatility cycles is a good thing. Historical precedence offer a blueprint for identifying conditions supportive for a vol-event to occur, and how they may unfold. Deepen your knowledge of historical volatility here: https://t.co/vg7w10la3j https://t.co/POsnWwTmER
  • Speculative stubbornness continues to hold back emergent fears like inflation and central bank moderation, but no certain of progress on that battle this week. While $NDX, $BTCUSD and Pound are on my radar, #Dollar tops my watch list: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2021/05/15/Dollar-Outlook-Throttled-by-Both-Risk-Rebound-and-Curbed-Inflation-Concerns.html https://t.co/aYjyvQzhIA
  • AUD/USD remains range-bound but trend potential exists elsewhere in pairs such as AUD/JPY or AUD/CAD. Get your market update from @JStanleyFX here: https://t.co/bppORO1NEg https://t.co/6mXqAOrl9H
  • What are some technical and fundamental factors affecting the equities market? Get your free forecast here: https://t.co/YQG1aaIT8C #DailyFXGuides https://t.co/oOyN7fUaC6
  • The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes may drag on the price of gold as the central bank appears to be in no rush to switch gears. Get your market update from @DavidJSong here: https://t.co/2EvNplObIk https://t.co/hhEAnqhAEu
  • There’s a strong correlation between interest rates and forex trading. Forex is ruled by many variables, but the interest rate of the currency is the fundamental factor that prevails above them all. Learn how interest rates impact currency markets here: https://t.co/J0EPMD2Cfi https://t.co/gNiVpWrd1p
  • Many people are attracted to forex trading due to the amount of leverage that brokers provide. Leverage allows traders to gain more exposure in financial markets than what they are required to pay for. Learn about FX leverage here: https://t.co/BdgFmkRxVw https://t.co/4zEwS7mFJE
  • GDP (Gross Domestic Product) economic data is deemed highly significant in the forex market. GDP figures are used as an indicator by fundamentalists to gauge the overall health and potential growth of a country. Learn use GDP data to your advantage here: https://t.co/Yl9vM7kO6a https://t.co/nB2f5m56nq
  • Traders utilize varying time frames to speculate in the forex market. The two most common are long- and short-term-time frames which transmits through to trend and trigger charts. Learn more about time-frame analysis here: https://t.co/9S5tXIs3SX https://t.co/Q0yRRpMpPX
  • Emotions are often a key driving force behind FOMO. If left unchecked, they can lead traders to neglect trading plans and exceed comfortable levels of risk. Read on and get your emotions in check here: https://t.co/eILWbFgHRE https://t.co/pSeSiNnmHe
Euro at Risk From German Political Stalemate

Euro at Risk From German Political Stalemate

Martin Essex, MSTA, Analyst

Talking Points:

- Germany’s political leaders are about to try again to form a new coalition government.

- So far, the Euro has shrugged off the stalemate but it will likely suffer if there is no breakthrough soon.

Like to know about the Traits of Successful Traders? Just click here

Or New to Forex? That guide is here

So far, the Euro has held up well despite the continuing failure of Germany’s political leadership to form a new coalition government. However, if the stalemate continues for much longer it will likely come under downward pressure.

At the time of writing, a Google news search for “German coalition talks” makes depressing reading. The top few headlines include:

5 ways Germany’s coalition talks could come unstuck,

German parties at odds ahead of coalition talks,

Merkel resumes talks with SPD in hope of ending political stalemate,

Why the once-durable Merkel may not last much longer, and

Berlin political deadlock stymies Macron’s Eurozone plans.

Euro still in demand

With Euro traders concentrating on a weak US Dollar and the prospect of Euro-Zone monetary stimulus being reduced or even ended this year, the currency is still in demand and will likely strengthen further. But persistent political instability in the Euro-Zone’s largest economy could potentially undermine sentiment longer-term.

EUR/USD Price Chart Daily Timeframe (January 2, 2017 to January 4, 2018)

Euro at Risk From German Political Stalemate

Chart by IG

Worst outcome for the Euro

Perhaps the worst outcome for the Euro would be if the negotiations fail and a new Federal election is called. One columnist noted: “It is no longer absurd to suggest [UK Prime Minister] Theresa May could outlast [German Chancellor Angela] Merkel.”

However, Merkel is seen as the consummate dealmaker so the odds remain good that she will succeed in forming a new coalition and holding on the Chancellorship; an outcome that would likely be seen as positive for both the Euro and German stock prices.

--- Written by Martin Essex, Analyst and Editor

To contact Martin, email him at martin.essex@ig.com

Follow Martin on Twitter @MartinSEssex

For help to trade profitably, check out the IG Client Sentiment data

And you can learn more by listening to our regular trading webinars; here’s a list of what’s coming up

Check out our Trading Guides: Several new ones are now available including Forex for Beginners, Building Confidence and Traits of Successful Traders

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES