Skip to content
News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Australian Dollar May Wilt, Markets Await Trump China News Conference

Australian Dollar May Wilt, Markets Await Trump China News Conference

Daniel Dubrovsky, Strategist

Australian Dollar, AUD/USD, Dow Jones, US-China Tensions – Asia Pacific Market Open

  • Australian Dollar may turn lower after candlestick pattern
  • Dow Jones drops, Trump announces China news conference
  • Markets may remain in limbo until outcome of it is known

The sentiment-linked Australian Dollar and similarly-behaving New Zealand Dollar could be at risk of turning lower after a relatively mixed session. On Thursday, the Dow Jones and S&P 500 closed -0.58% and -0.21% respectively after wiping out gains as much as 1 percent. The Euro outperformed as markets digested the European Commission proposing an ambitious recovery fund as the haven-linked US Dollar declined.

Traits of Successful Traders
Traits of Successful Traders
Recommended by Daniel Dubrovsky
Traits of Successful Traders
Get My Guide

Investors turned risk averse after US President Donald Trump announced that he will hold a news conference later today on China. This follows Chinese legislatures voting to endorse a proposed security law for Hong Kong. In recent weeks, escalating tensions between the world’s largest economies have been likely adding an additional layer of uncertainty to the road to recovery from the coronavirus outbreak.

This development likely overshadowed earlier optimism on US continuing claims unexpectedly dipping to 21.05m for the week ending May 16 against the anticipation of a 25.68m outcome. As this data is more timely, markets may have overlooked the second estimate of local first-quarter GDP which was revised softer to -5.0% q/q from -4.8% anticipated.

Friday’s Asia Pacific Trading Session

A consequence of Trump’s news conference later today is that it could leave financial markets in limbo as investors struggle to price in the exact outcome. There is also the question of what Beijing could do as countermeasures in the event Washington pushes for bold action, such as economic sanctions or tariffs. China is Australia’s largest trading partner, and it may have to brace for the knock-on risks of tit-for-tat exchanges.

Australian Dollar Technical Analysis

It is thus unsurprising perhaps that AUD/USD has left behind a Doji candlestick on the daily chart below. This pattern is a sign of indecision which typically carries greater significance when it occurs at peaks or troughs. In this case, the emergence of the Doji just under key resistance – a range between 0.6645 – 0.6685 – could speak to a potential top in the works. Follow-through is critical when it comes to these candlestick patterns. A turn lower through support at 0.6624 exposes lows from the beginning of this month.

AUD/USD Bearish
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily 0% -30% -8%
Weekly 1% -15% -3%
What does it mean for price action?
Get My Guide

Can’t see the AUD/USD chart below? Click here

AUD/USD – Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

Chart Created in TradingView

--- Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Currency Analyst for DailyFX.com

To contact Daniel, use the comments section below or @ddubrovskyFX on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES