News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.



Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events


Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

Free Trading Guides
Please try again
Oil - US Crude
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
More View more
Real Time News
  • Make smart trading decisions with your free guide to trade the news. Download your free guide here. #DailyFXGuides
  • Currency exchange rates are impacted by several factors. Are different world leaders a contributing factor? Find out here:
  • Gold snapped a two-week losing streak but keeps price within the broader August downtrend. These are the levels that matter on the $XAUUSD weekly chart. Get your market update from @MBForex here:
  • $GBPUSD continues to move higher, despite Friday’s weakness, as vaccination hopes continue to fuel positive sentiment despite ongoing lockdown fears and downbeat UK data. Get your market update from @nickcawley1 here:
  • Risk management is one of the most important aspects of successful trading, but is often overlooked. What are some basic principles or risk management? Find out from @PaulRobinsonFX here:
  • Recessions can devastate the economy and disrupt the fortunes of individuals, businesses, and investors. But economic decline in the business cycle is inevitable, and your trading can be defined by how you respond to crisis. learn how to prepare here:
  • Looking for a new way to trade reversals? One of the most used reversal candle patterns is known as the Harami. Like most candlestick formation patterns, the Harami tells a story about sentiment in the market. Get better with trading reversals here:
  • MACD who? The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a technical indicator which simply measures the relationship of exponential moving averages (EMA). Find out how you can incorporate MACD into your trading strategy here:
  • Knowing how to accurately value a stock enables traders to identify and take advantage of opportunities in the stock market. Find out the difference between a stock's market and intrinsic value, and the importance of the two here:
  • It seems the markets are riding high, but risk is always lurking around the corner. Consider your escape plan before you find yourself in collapsing market. What are the top havens for different conditions in 2021? Find out from @JohnKicklighter here:
Price Action Setups - February 12, 2013

Price Action Setups - February 12, 2013

James Stanley, Strategist

Article Summary: Price Action is the study of technical analysis using the most important indicator available to traders: Price itself. This article will walk through a current trade setup as outlined in The Forex Traders Guide to Price Action.

Central Bank commentary continues to be a primary driver in not only the currency markets, but equity and fixed income markets across the globe.

With a potentially contentious G20 meeting set for the latter portion of the week, accented by speculation that Japan may come under fire for their recently instituted policy of driving additional weakness into the Yen; markets can continue to see heightened volatility on the back of Central Banker commentary.

With few signs of significant growth in Japan, or the United States – the largest national economies in the world have embarked on massive intervention programs with the goal of weakening their currencies; which can lead to an improvement in import-export balances that can hopefully amount to economic strength. We looked at this very premise in our article, The Fuel of a Currency War, Part 2.

As we looked at in the article, a weaker currency can bring enormous benefits to an export-based economy like Japan. This type of action also comes at the cost of other economies, such as Europe, which can, in-turn, see an increasing value on their currency. This increasing cost of currency can make it more expensive to sell goods overseas, and this can add much more additional pressure to an economy. We examined the challenge that a strengthening currency can present in the The Fuel of a Currency War, Part 1.

So, if a currency is too strong – the economy risks seeing smaller exports and greater imports (since imported goods are now cheaper), and this can present a multitude of challenges to companies based in that economy.

This is precisely what is being felt in Europe right now. An economy that is facing double-digit unemployment, while still teetering on the brink of disaster is seeing their huge moves higher in the value of their currency. This increase in the value of Euros can make a European recovery even more daunting. Without the ability to increase exports, many troubled nations in Europe (such as Spain, Italy, and Ireland) could face continued headwinds.

At the most recent ECB rate decision and press conference, Mario Draghi indicated that the value of the Euro is something that will be watched by the European Central Bank. Francois Hollande, Prime Minister of France, has made assertions that he doesn’t feel that the value of the Euro should be left to the market and, instead, implied that the Euro Zone needed to manage their exchange rates.

The fears of a currency war have filtered in to the market, and Central Bankers and politicians are on high-alert as the global economy sits in a tenuous state. Bankers are standing by appearing vigilant to defend their currencies, and economies.

And while all of this may sound like it could spell doom and gloom for the Euro zone, the pair continues to show its bullish up-trend as indicated by higher-highs, and higher-lows on the Daily chart.

Despite a spate of bad news, EURUSD uptrend has remained in-tact

pasetupsfeb1213_body_Picture_2.png, Price Action Setups - February 12, 2013

Created with Marketscope/Trading Station

This can lead to exceptional volatility across markets in the coming weeks, and traders will likely be best served by continuing to focus on risk management as a primary goal in any strategy utilized.

The next candle on a chart is always going to be unpredictable, but in a volatile market – the cost of being wrong increases. So while it always behooves traders to utilize strong risk management, volatile or fast markets make it perhaps even more important.

Traders can look to be more patient or selective with entries, or perhaps even demanding more aggressive risk-reward ratios on any setup taken.

Below is a setup that could offer traders advantageous risk-reward ratios, in accordance with the DailyFX Traits of Successful Traders research.

The Continuation Move

Traders can look to play a continuation of the up-trend in EURUSD by placing a stop under the most recent swing-low presented on the daily chart, with the goal of taking profits just inside of the recent high that was hit.

With this setup, if the recent swing-low holds the trader could see upside. If the swing-low does not hold, and the trend does not continue – this stop allows the trader to exit the position before further lows are faced.

EURUSD Daily chart could offer compelling risk-reward ratio on continuation of trend

pasetupsfeb1213_body_Picture_1.png, Price Action Setups - February 12, 2013

Created with Marketscope/Trading Station

Long EURUSD at Market; Stop at 1.3340, Profit Target at 1.3700.

--- Written by James Stanley

To contact James Stanley, please email You can follow James on Twitter @JStanleyFX.

To join James Stanley’s distribution list, please click here.

Would you like a customized curriculum to walk you through Trading Education? Take our Trader IQ quiz and receive a full lesson plan with numerous free resources to expand your information arsenal.

Take the Trader IQ Quiz Now!

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.