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  • Key break here in the 10-year #Treasury yield as it rises to the highest since late June Took out 1.4230 resistance, and the 100-day SMA Eyes now on the 38.2% Fib extension at 1.4775 Also potential falling resistance from March
  • The move in rates after this week’s FOMC has continued and the 10 year yield has pushed up to a fresh two-month-high. Get your market update from @JStanleyFX here:
  • S&P 500 contending with its proverbial ‘line in the sand’ as bulls and bears battle for directional control. How we close/trade around the 50-day moving average could serve as a noteworthy bellwether for risk trends headed into next week. I remain cautious below ~4,480. $SPX $ES
  • USD/JPY trades to a fresh monthly (110.57) amid the pickup in longer-dated US Treasury yields, and the exchange rate may stage a larger advance over the coming days. Get your market update from @DavidJSong here:
  • US yields continue to climb, with the 10-year Treasury yield trading above 1.45% $ZN $ZB
  • $USDJPY bull thesis appears quite constructive. Technicals show topside breakout above trend resistance following a period of consolidation. Bond yields providing the fundamental catalyst. Eyes on Aug/YTD highs. A broad-based deterioration in market sentiment poses downside risk.
  • WTI posting another session of strong gains, currently flirting with the 74 handle $CL #Oil #OOTT
  • The New Zealand Dollar’s bullish breakout attempt in early-September was rebuffed. Price action at the end of the month is telling a different story. Get your market update from @CVecchioFX here:
  • So much for that Evergrande recovery. Shares of the troubled Chinese property developer are down approximately -12% today following yesterday's impressive rally (biggest in a year)
  • Retail trading platform Robinhood announces hire of new Chief Compliance Officer amid regulatory scrutiny
Weekly Trading Forecast: Fed, Team Trump Battle for Influence

Weekly Trading Forecast: Fed, Team Trump Battle for Influence

Ilya Spivak, David Cottle, Michael Boutros, Renee Mu, Tyler Yell, CMT, Paul Robinson, David Song, Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Oliver Morrison,

Financial markets cheered a confident Fed yet wilted on fears of status-quo-shattering maneuvers from "team Trump" last week. The tug of war is set to resume in the week ahead.

US Dollar Forecast: US Dollar Rise on Fed Rate Hike Bets at the Mercy of Team Trump

The US Dollar may find renewed support from a hawkish Federal Reserve in the week ahead but worrisome headlines from Washington, DC remain a potent threat.

Euro Forecast: Another Light Economic Calendar Has Euro Following Global Risk Trends

There are a few items of importance due up over the coming days that will move the Euro, but nothing that will materially alter its current trajectory. Major influences are likely to come from elsewhere.

British Pound Forecast: British Pound Under Pressure As Inflation Begins To Bite Consumers

The past week was a sorry one for Sterling bulls. A host of data has failed to inspire, and the Pound ended the week down against both the Dollar and the Euro after failing to capitalize on the political woes facing both the Greenback and the European single currency.

Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY to Track Risk Trends as Yellen Fails to Shift Rate Outlook

Headlines coming out of the G20 meeting may yield a limited reaction in USD/JPY as the group of global finance ministers strive to avert a currency war.

Australian Dollar Forecast: Australian Dollar May Languish If Only For Lack of Clues

The Australian Dollar dodged a couple of bullets as local sentiment indicators soared, stealing some of the limelight from the US Fed as they did so. That will not happen again.

Chinese Yuan Forecast: Offshore Yuan Exposed to Onshore Risks as Spread Narrows

The two Dollar/Yuan pairs have been driven by different themes of recent: The Dollar’s strength weighted more on the offshore pair, while the onshore Yuan eyed more on moves from China’s Central Bank.

Crude Oil Forecast: Low Volatility At New And Higher Price Floor Favors Upside

Crude Oil looks poised to end the week lower for the first time in five weeks. However, there is a silver lining. As of Friday morning, the weekly price range in Crude Oil is the smallest in 13-years.

Global Equities Forecast: Global Equity Indices Buoyed, but Risk Quickly Rising for the S&P 500

Last week was a generally bullish one for equity indices outside of Japan, with U.S. and European markets showing modest to strong gains. Volatility was muted, something which traders are hoping will soon change.

Gold Forecast: Gold Prices Flirt with 1250 Hurdle Ahead of FOMC Minutes

Gold prices pressed higher for a third consecutive week with the precious metal up 0.39% to trade at 1238 ahead of the New York close on Friday.

Weekly Trading Forecast: Fed, Team Trump Battle for Influence

See what live coverage is scheduled to cover key event risk for the FX and capital markets on the DailyFX Webinar Calendar.

See the DailyFX 1Q 2017 forecasts for the Dollar, Euro, Pound, Equities and Gold in the DailyFX Trading Guides page.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.