Talking Points:
- Aussie Dollar Drops, Yen Gains as Chinese & Greek News Sour Sentiment
- S&P 500 Futures Point Lower, Hinting at Continued Risk Aversion Ahead
- See Economic Data Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App
The Australian Dollar underperformed in overnight trade, falling as much as 0.6 percent on average against its leading currency counterparts. The move followed a disappointing set of Chinese Trade Balance figures released over the weekend.
The report showed exports unexpectedly fell 3.3 percent year-on-year in January, marking the first decline since March 2014. Imports slid 19.9 percent, amounting to the worst print since May 2009. China is Australia’s top trading partner and signs of sluggish activity there bode ill for the latter country’s growth prospects and reinforce RBA interest rate cut speculation.
The Japanese Yen pushed higher, adding as much as 0.3 percent against the majors. The move tracked a drop on most Asian stock exchanges as signs of slowing momentum in the world’s second-largest economy fueled risk aversion, driving an unwinding of carry trades funded in the perennially low-yielding currency.
Looking ahead, a quiet economic calendar in European trading hours is likely to keep sentiment trends at the forefront. S&P 500 futures are pointing markedly lower, hinting at continued risk aversion in the cards ahead. Comments from newly-minted Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras rejecting his country’s EU/IMF bailout – raising the probability of so-called “Grexit” – may compound investors’ dour mood.
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Asia Session
| GMT | CCY | EVENT | ACT | EXP | PREV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2:27 | CNY | Trade Balance CNY (JAN)(Yuan) | 366.90B | - | 304.56B |
| 2:27 | CNY | Imports (YoY) (JAN) | -19.9% | -3.2% | -2.4% |
| 2:27 | CNY | Imports (YoY) CNY (JAN) | -19.7% | - | -2.3% |
| 2:27 | CNY | Trade Balance (JAN) | $60.03B | $48.20B | $49.61B |
| 2:27 | CNY | Exports (YoY) CNY (JAN) | -3.2% | - | 9.9% |
| 2:27 | CNY | Exports (YoY) (JAN) | -3.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% |
| 23:50 | JPY | Bank Lending incl Trusts (YoY) (JAN) | 2.5% | - | 2.6% |
| 23:50 | JPY | Bank Lending Banks ex-Trust (JAN) | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% |
| 23:50 | JPY | Current Account Total (DEC) | ¥187.2B | ¥355.8B | ¥433.0B |
| 23:50 | JPY | Adjusted Current Account Total (DEC) | ¥976.6B | ¥940.8B | ¥914.5B |
| 23:50 | JPY | Trade Balance - BOP Basis (DEC) | -¥395.6B | -¥472.0B | -¥636.8B |
| 0:30 | AUD | ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) (JAN) | 1.3% | - | 1.8% |
| 1:30 | JPY | BOJ’s Morimoto Speaks in Chiba | - | - | - |
| 4:30 | JPY | Bankruptcies (YoY) (JAN) | -16.55% | - | -8.53% |
| 5:00 | JPY | Consumer Confidence Index (JAN) | 39.1 | 39.3 | 38.8 |
| 6:00 | JPY | Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook (JAN) | 45.8 | 46.7 | |
| 6:00 | JPY | Eco Watchers Survey: Current (JAN) | 45.8 | 45.2 |
European Session
| GMT | CCY | EVENT | EXP/ACT | PREV | IMPACT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:40 | GBP | BOE’s Carney Speaks at IIF Event in Istanbul | - | - | Medium |
| 7:00 | EUR | German Trade Balance (DEC) | €16.0B | €7.9B | Low |
| 7:00 | EUR | German Current Account (DEC) | €20.8B | €18.6B | Low |
| 7:00 | EUR | German Exports s.a. (MoM) (DEC) | 1.0% | -1.9% | Low |
| 7:00 | EUR | German Imports s.a. (MoM) (DEC) | 0.2% | 1.6% | Low |
| 8:00 | CHF | SNB Sight Deposits | - | - | Low |
| 9:30 | EUR | Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence (FEB) | 3.0 | 0.9 | Low |
Critical Levels
| CCY | Supp 3 | Supp 2 | Supp 1 | Pivot Point | Res 1 | Res 2 | Res 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | 1.1023 | 1.1197 | 1.1256 | 1.1371 | 1.1430 | 1.1545 | 1.1719 |
| GBPUSD | 1.4989 | 1.5129 | 1.5186 | 1.5269 | 1.5326 | 1.5409 | 1.5549 |
--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
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