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Strategy Video:  China Poses a Greater Risk to Markets than Fed or Greece

Strategy Video: China Poses a Greater Risk to Markets than Fed or Greece

2015-03-12 01:58:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist
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Talking Points:

• A global economic slowdown, revived Eurozone crisis and Fed tightening cycle are considered global risks

• Just as systemic but receiving far less attention lately is the threat that China can pose

• Increasingly important to the global economy and financial system, this country is flashing warning signs

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There is little doubt that a Fed move to tighten policy or a rift undermining the stability of the Eurozone would threaten the global markets with instability. As popular as these concerns are as of late, they aren't the only active concerns for the broader system - and they may not even be the most systemic. China has positioned itself as one of the most systemically important economies and markets with measures showing the largest contribution to global GDP post Great Financial Crisis along with a massive contribution to global stimulus to support investor sentiment. That said, China is struggling to prevent its economic moderation effort from tipping to a full stall while its financial system faces tangible evidence of asset bubbles and distant waves of bad debt. We discuss why and how China represents a risk that all FX and global investors should be aware of in today's Strategy Video.

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