News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • Did you know a Doji candlestick signals market indecision and the potential for a change in direction. What are the top five types of Doji candlesticks? Find out: https://t.co/td5WA4hCZC https://t.co/cQwbeZ6Feq
  • #Oil prices saw a reprieve to the recent selling pressure but remain at risk while below downtrend resistance. Here are the levels that matter on the #WTI technical chart. Get your #commodities update from @MBForex here: https://t.co/CcXsF3JCMH https://t.co/RUmS1cX52v
  • Forex liquidity makes it easy for traders to sell and buy currencies without delay, and also creates tight spreads for favorable quotes. Low costs and large scope to various markets make it the most frequently traded market in the world. Learn more here: https://t.co/5uSWKoLkd6 https://t.co/boEI8RuQdC
  • The growth-linked New Zealand Dollar may rise on the upcoming #RBNZ rate decision following rosy economic data. However, downside potential in the S&P 500 could offset $NZDUSD gains. Get your #currencies update from @ddubrovskyFX here: https://t.co/LfCe6C6G3P https://t.co/kUeBxxeaEf
  • It was a quiet week in Aussie as $AUDUSD put in its second consecutive week of indecision. But taking a more granular look highlights the potential for a reversal scenario. Get your #currencies update from @JStanleyFX here: https://t.co/PPK20nubAf https://t.co/0nfmRRFNnz
  • The S&P 500 pushed the market's comfort with a head-and-shoulders pattern through Friday's close. What should we look for in technical patterns, overlapping fundamental tides and speculative positioning for the likes of $EURUSD next week? https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2020/09/19/EURUSD-Pressure-Building-while-Anxious-Traders-Weigh-Did-SP-500-Break.html?ref-author=Kicklighter&QPID=917719&CHID=9 https://t.co/lgVJVwi8th
  • Sterling remains trapped by overarching fundamentals drivers and both $GBPUSD and $EURGBP are going to have to wait until the Brexit dust settles. Get your #currencies update from @nickcawley1 here: https://t.co/vF1K1cy0nd https://t.co/NSA7qiQihc
  • Key levels in forex tend to draw attention to traders in the market. These are psychological prices which tie into the human psyche and way of thinking. Learn about psychological levels here:https://t.co/1oygcFMFNs https://t.co/d9EmTOHyTv
  • Traders tend to overcomplicate things when they’re starting out in the forex market. This fact is unfortunate but undeniably true.Simplify your trading strategy with these four indicators here:https://t.co/A4dqGMPylo https://t.co/xqbUxwWgTZ
  • An economic calendar is a resource that allows traders to learn about important economic information scheduled to be released. Stay up to date on the most important global economic data here: https://t.co/JdvW6HNuqV https://t.co/Gi8LHCT5sB
USD/CAD Stalls Before Getting Out of the Driveway

USD/CAD Stalls Before Getting Out of the Driveway

2016-07-27 21:15:00
Jeremy Wagner, CEWA-M, Head of Education
Share:

Talking Points

-USD/CAD breaks higher, but doesn’t follow through

-Tight confluence of resistance in USD/CAD near 1.3304-1.3381

-OBV is bearish, SSI is bullish; Follow GSI for clues if the price zone may hold or break

Have you ever had one of those cars that wasn’t reliable? You know, the one that when you put it into gear, it would frequently stall out on you. Well, USD/CAD reminds me of such a car.

USD/CAD broke higher on Monday, but has offered little by way of additional follow through. On Monday, we wrote how the Loonie has reached its highest level in 4 months. The breakout has been less than dramatic. Since Monday, USD/CAD has traded sideways in a very tight 95 pip range.

We identified in Monday’s report four different levels that may offer resistance in the coming days. Those levels still hold and are bound by 1.3304-1.3381. With significant amounts of resistance looming overhead, the inability to push further ahead suggests the path of least resistance may be lower. Volume, as measured through On Balance Volume (OBV) supports a weak outlook on price , too.

USD/CAD Stalls Before Getting Out of the Driveway

On Balance Volume (OBV) has been showing signs of a sideways range. As price pushed to a new 4 month high on Monday July 25, OBV was still well below levels seen in May. This divergence doesn’t look good for bulls as it says the amount of volume on up candles has been weak.

From a sentiment perspective, there might be a hint of bullishness, though it is weak. Even though the number of short traders has increased to 5 months highs (see sub-chart below) the substantial amount of overhead resistance is going to make for a murky journey. As a result, being positioned long at current price levels isn’t appetizing as the risk to reward ratio is skewed heavily against us which is not a trait of successful traders.

Suggested Reading:

Learn how to use USD/CAD live trader positioning in your trading decision

USD/CAD Technical Analysis – Breakout but How Far?

USD/CAD Stalls Before Getting Out of the Driveway

Bottom line, it may be best to wait for USD/CAD to push into the 1.3304-1.3381 resistance zone before initiating trades. Since we have mixed signals via OBV and SSI, perhaps lean to the Grid Sight Index for assistance as to the near term direction.

Interested in a quarterly outlook for USD or other markets? Download our quarterly forecast here.

---Written by Jeremy Wagner, Head Trading Instructor, DailyFX EDU

Follow me on Twitter at @JWagnerFXTrader .

See Jeremy’s recent articles at his Bio Page.

To receive additional articles from Jeremy via email, join Jeremy’s distribution list.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES