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NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Top Below 0.71 Intact for Now

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Top Below 0.71 Intact for Now

2016-04-29 09:58:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

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Talking Points:

  • NZD/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Kiwi Dollar surge negates trend line break but top sub-0.71 intact for now
  • Waiting to re-establish short when another attractive opportunity emerges

The New Zealand Dollar launched aggressively higher against its US counterpart, issuing the largest daily advance in nearly three months. Prices negated a break of monthly trend support from earlier in the week but the top established by a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candle pattern below 0.71 remains in place for now.

A daily close above the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion at 0.6974 exposes the 0.705477 area, marked by the April 19 high and the 38.2% level. Alternatively, a turn below the 14.6% Fib at 0.6910 paves the way for a test of the 0.6784-6807 area (38.2% Fib retracement, April 27 low).

We entered short NZD/USD at 0.6895. The trade hit its first objective after the FOMC rate decision and we booked partial profits. The remainder of the position was stopped out at breakeven after the RBNZ policy announcement. We will take to the sidelines from here, waiting for a new selling opportunity to emerge.

What do FXCM traders’ NZD/USD bets imply about the price trend? Find out here!

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Top Below 0.71 Intact for Now

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