We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
More View more
Real Time News
  • Secretary Mnuchin: - Financial Stability Oversight Council focusing heavily on leveraged lending market $HYG $SPX
  • US EIA Natural Gas Storage Change: Actual: -19 Expected: -20 Previous: -28 https://www.dailyfx.com/calendar?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=DFXGeneric&utm_campaign=twr
  • here has been increased calls for OPEC to opt for deeper production cuts with a touted figure of 400kbpd in order to balance the market. Get your market update from @JMcQueenFX here https://t.co/lIiW5SYeNO
  • Secretary Mnuchin says he spoke with Fed Chair Powell about repo market issues today $SPX $DXY #FOMC
  • Secretary Mnuchin say the Financial Stability Oversight Council is encouraging the market to prepare for LIBOR ending $DXY
  • The US is set to impose a tariff hike of 15% in 10 days on $160 billion worth of Chinese goods - so far, no consensus has been reached between US and China to delay these tariffs $USDCNH $DXY $SPX
  • Natural Gas Price Weekly Forecast: A Pullback or Comeback? More details in the link below: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/special_report/2019/12/05/Natural-Gas-Price-Weekly-Forecast-a-Pullback-or-Comeback-MK.html?CHID=9&QPID=917714 https://t.co/r7kEj0OnMH
  • Russian Oil Minister Novak says OPEC+ did not talk about output cut distribution #OOTT $CL_F
  • $DXY now trading below it's 200-day moving average https://t.co/pKh3Hme95T
  • US Factory Orders (OCT): Actual: 0.3% Expected: 0.3% Previous: -0.8% (r) https://www.dailyfx.com/calendar?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=DFXGeneric&utm_campaign=twr
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: A Breakout-Induced Range

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: A Breakout-Induced Range

2017-04-26 17:30:00
James Stanley, Currency Strategist

To receive James Stanley’s Analysis directly via email, please sign up here.

Talking Points:

  • GBP/USD Technical Strategy: Intermediate-term bullish, short-term range-bound.
  • Cable has yet to extend the rally from last week’s bullish breakout; but buyers are continuing to show some element of support at prior resistance, so this wouldn’t be a ‘direct fade’ setup, either.
  • If you’re looking for trading ideas, check out our Trading Guides. They’re free and updated for Q1, 2017. If you’re looking for ideas more short-term in nature, please check out our IG Client Sentiment.

In our last article, we looked at the top-side breakout in GBP/USD after PM, Theresa May announced early general elections in the U.K., set to take place on June the 8th of this year. This was a surprise announcement that few were expecting, and within short-order of Prime Minister May making this statement, the British Pound had rallied by almost 400 pips against the U.S. Dollar. But as we warned in our last article, traders would likely want to avoid chasing the move-higher until more information presented itself.

Since then, we have seen some additional factors that would denote the potential for bullish continuation, primarily taken from the fact that ‘higher-low’ support has continued to show around that prior zone of resistance around 1.2775. But perhaps more disconcerting for bulls is the fact that price action has continued to respond around the 1.2850 level; thereby producing a range formation after last week’s burst-higher.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: A Breakout-Induced Range

Chart prepared by James Stanley

Given that we have a shorter-term range showing up after a breakout, traders looking to add long exposure in GBP/USD can look to trade the range with a trend-side bias. As in, look to buy at or around support in the 1.2775 vicinity and, if price moves back-up, look to scale-out of the position as prices move closer to resistance. This can be accompanied by a break-even stop, and perhaps even leaving the final ‘scale’ of the lot open in the effort of seeking another top-side breakout with a limited-risk approach. Traders taking a bullish stance with the prospect of top-side extension would likely want to investigate stops below the 1.2750 psychological level. And if that top-side breakout doesn’t occur, then the break-even stop is protecting the position from a deeper move-lower.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: A Breakout-Induced Range

Chart prepared by James Stanley

For bearish exposure – traders will likely want to wait for a definitive break back-below 1.2750 before plotting such strategies. If this takes place, 1.2706 becomes an ideal area to look for secondary support, after which ‘lower-high’ resistance could be looked for between 1.2750-1.2775.

--- Written by James Stanley, Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive James Stanley’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Contact and follow James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.


News & Analysis at your fingertips.