USDJPY: Retail trader data shows 50.8% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.03 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 1.4% higher than yesterday and 13.9% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 18.6% lower than yesterday and 21.4% lower from last week.
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests USDJPY prices may continue to fall. Traders are further net-long than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger USDJPY-bearish contrarian trading bias.
--- Written by Dylan Jusino, DailyFX Research